Google’s Gemini models, particularly the recent 3.8 Flash High release that improved math-category Elo scores to the 1508–1525 range, anchor trader consensus at 72.5% for second place behind Anthropic on the Text Arena Math leaderboard. Anthropic’s Claude Opus and Fable variants hold the top math rankings with scores above 1530, creating a stable gap that leaves limited room for other labs to close by September 30. Chinese providers such as Z.ai and Moonshot show competitive overall arena presence but trail in math-specific voting, while OpenAI’s entries remain further back. With resolution tied directly to the live lab ranking on arena.ai, any late-September Gemini update or sustained user preference for Google models could reinforce the current market-implied odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtGoogle 63%
Anthropic 18.1%
OpenAI 13.0%
Alibaba 1.1%
$56,677 KL.
$56,677 KL.
Sep 30, 2026
63%
Anthropic
18%
OpenAI
10%
Alibaba
1%
Moonshot
1%
Meta
1%
Z.ai
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Baidu
<1%
DeepSeek
<1%
ByteDance
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Xiaomi
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Meituan
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Mistral
<1%
StepFun
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Google 63%
Anthropic 18.1%
OpenAI 13.0%
Alibaba 1.1%
$56,677 KL.
$56,677 KL.
Sep 30, 2026
$17,691 KL.
63%
Anthropic
$6,980 KL.
18%
OpenAI
$6,885 KL.
10%
Alibaba
$5,762 KL.
1%
Moonshot
$1,695 KL.
1%
Meta
$1,495 KL.
1%
Z.ai
$1,563 KL.
1%
SpaceXAI
$1,150 KL.
1%
Baidu
$1,349 KL.
<1%
DeepSeek
$1,231 KL.
<1%
ByteDance
$1,467 KL.
<1%
Tencent
$1,227 KL.
<1%
Xiaomi
$1,653 KL.
<1%
Nvidia
$766 KL.
<1%
MiniMax
$1,063 KL.
<1%
Meituan
$1,044 KL.
<1%
Amazon
$951 KL.
<1%
Mistral
$1,228 KL.
<1%
StepFun
$566 KL.
<1%
Microsoft
$910 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google’s Gemini models, particularly the recent 3.8 Flash High release that improved math-category Elo scores to the 1508–1525 range, anchor trader consensus at 72.5% for second place behind Anthropic on the Text Arena Math leaderboard. Anthropic’s Claude Opus and Fable variants hold the top math rankings with scores above 1530, creating a stable gap that leaves limited room for other labs to close by September 30. Chinese providers such as Z.ai and Moonshot show competitive overall arena presence but trail in math-specific voting, while OpenAI’s entries remain further back. With resolution tied directly to the live lab ranking on arena.ai, any late-September Gemini update or sustained user preference for Google models could reinforce the current market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Thị trường mở: Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ET
Khối lượng
$56,677Ngày kết thúc
Oct 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".Google’s Gemini models, particularly the recent 3.8 Flash High release that improved math-category Elo scores to the 1508–1525 range, anchor trader consensus at 72.5% for second place behind Anthropic on the Text Arena Math leaderboard. Anthropic’s Claude Opus and Fable variants hold the top math rankings with scores above 1530, creating a stable gap that leaves limited room for other labs to close by September 30. Chinese providers such as Z.ai and Moonshot show competitive overall arena presence but trail in math-specific voting, while OpenAI’s entries remain further back. With resolution tied directly to the live lab ranking on arena.ai, any late-September Gemini update or sustained user preference for Google models could reinforce the current market-implied odds.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on September 30, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Khối lượng
$56,677Ngày kết thúc
Oct 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 24, 2026, 8:03 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Google’s Gemini models, particularly the recent 3.8 Flash High release that improved math-category Elo scores to the 1508–1525 range, anchor trader consensus at 72.5% for second place behind Anthropic on the Text Arena Math leaderboard. Anthropic’s Claude Opus and Fable variants hold the top math rankings with scores above 1530, creating a stable gap that leaves limited room for other labs to close by September 30. Chinese providers such as Z.ai and Moonshot show competitive overall arena presence but trail in math-specific voting, while OpenAI’s entries remain further back. With resolution tied directly to the live lab ranking on arena.ai, any late-September Gemini update or sustained user preference for Google models could reinforce the current market-implied odds.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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