OpenAI holds the strongest position in this market at 43% implied probability due to its consistent leadership in math-focused benchmarks and recent large language model updates demonstrating superior reasoning on complex problems. Anthropic and Google follow closely at 27% and 25.5%, reflecting their strong showings in technical evaluations and ongoing investments in AI safety-aligned architectures that enhance mathematical accuracy. The crowded field of lower-probability contenders highlights intense competition, where differentiating factors include demonstrated benchmark performance, model scale, and developer ecosystem strength ahead of the October resolution. Traders are closely watching upcoming capability demonstrations and third-party evaluations that could shift sentiment in this tightly contested category.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOpenAI 43%
Anthropic 27%
Google 26%
Alibaba 5%
$48,387 KL.
$48,387 KL.
Oct 31, 2026
OpenAI
43%
Anthropic
27%
26%
Alibaba
5%
Baidu
2%
Z.ai
2%
Moonshot
1%
DeepSeek
1%
SpaceXAI
1%
Meta
1%
Xiaomi
1%
Meituan
1%
ByteDance
1%
StepFun
<1%
Amazon
<1%
Tencent
<1%
Microsoft
<1%
Nvidia
<1%
MiniMax
<1%
Mistral
<1%
OpenAI 43%
Anthropic 27%
Google 26%
Alibaba 5%
$48,387 KL.
$48,387 KL.
Oct 31, 2026
OpenAI
$3,111 KL.
43%
Anthropic
$3,256 KL.
27%
$31,755 KL.
26%
Alibaba
$1,275 KL.
5%
Baidu
$531 KL.
2%
Z.ai
$623 KL.
2%
Moonshot
$526 KL.
1%
DeepSeek
$580 KL.
1%
SpaceXAI
$522 KL.
1%
Meta
$536 KL.
1%
Xiaomi
$523 KL.
1%
Meituan
$874 KL.
1%
ByteDance
$591 KL.
1%
StepFun
$576 KL.
<1%
Amazon
$588 KL.
<1%
Tencent
$573 KL.
<1%
Microsoft
$722 KL.
<1%
Nvidia
$521 KL.
<1%
MiniMax
$370 KL.
<1%
Mistral
$336 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI holds the strongest position in this market at 43% implied probability due to its consistent leadership in math-focused benchmarks and recent large language model updates demonstrating superior reasoning on complex problems. Anthropic and Google follow closely at 27% and 25.5%, reflecting their strong showings in technical evaluations and ongoing investments in AI safety-aligned architectures that enhance mathematical accuracy. The crowded field of lower-probability contenders highlights intense competition, where differentiating factors include demonstrated benchmark performance, model scale, and developer ecosystem strength ahead of the October resolution. Traders are closely watching upcoming capability demonstrations and third-party evaluations that could shift sentiment in this tightly contested category.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Thị trường mở: Aug 12, 2026, 7:53 PM ET
Khối lượng
$48,387Ngày kết thúc
Nov 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 7:53 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".OpenAI holds the strongest position in this market at 43% implied probability due to its consistent leadership in math-focused benchmarks and recent large language model updates demonstrating superior reasoning on complex problems. Anthropic and Google follow closely at 27% and 25.5%, reflecting their strong showings in technical evaluations and ongoing investments in AI safety-aligned architectures that enhance mathematical accuracy. The crowded field of lower-probability contenders highlights intense competition, where differentiating factors include demonstrated benchmark performance, model scale, and developer ecosystem strength ahead of the October resolution. Traders are closely watching upcoming capability demonstrations and third-party evaluations that could shift sentiment in this tightly contested category.
This market will resolve according to the second-highest ranked Company based on the arena.ai Text Arena (Math) when the table under the "Leaderboard" tab filtered for "Labs" is checked on October 31, 2026, 12:00 PM ET.
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Results from the "Lab Rank" column under the "Text Arena | Math" Leaderboard tab at https://arena.ai/leaderboard/text/math-no-style-control?rankBy=labs with style control off (Adjustments: None) and filtered for "Labs" will be used to resolve this market.
Note: Models marked “AutoEval” at the applicable check time will not be considered, regardless of whether they display a rank or score.
AI companies will be ordered primarily by their Lab Rank at the market’s check time. If the results based on the lab ranking are ambiguous or unavailable, the relevant AI companies will be ordered according to their highest-ranking AI model in the leaderboard’s “Models” view. If two or more models are tied on rank, they will be ordered by their Arena score, including any underlying, unrounded, granular values reflected in the data below the leaderboard. If a tie still remains, alphabetical order of AI lab/company names as listed in this market group will be used as a final tiebreaker (e.g., if the two models are tied by exact arena score, “Google” would be ranked ahead of “SpaceXAI”). This market will resolve based on the company that occupies second place under this ranking.
The resolution source for this market is the arena.ai Text Arena (Math). If this resolution source is unavailable at check time, this market will remain open until the leaderboard comes back online and will resolve based on the first check after it becomes available. If it becomes permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "Other".
Khối lượng
$48,387Ngày kết thúc
Nov 1, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 12, 2026, 7:53 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...OpenAI holds the strongest position in this market at 43% implied probability due to its consistent leadership in math-focused benchmarks and recent large language model updates demonstrating superior reasoning on complex problems. Anthropic and Google follow closely at 27% and 25.5%, reflecting their strong showings in technical evaluations and ongoing investments in AI safety-aligned architectures that enhance mathematical accuracy. The crowded field of lower-probability contenders highlights intense competition, where differentiating factors include demonstrated benchmark performance, model scale, and developer ecosystem strength ahead of the October resolution. Traders are closely watching upcoming capability demonstrations and third-party evaluations that could shift sentiment in this tightly contested category.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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