The Supreme Court's June 30, 2026, decision upholding birthright citizenship under the Fourteenth Amendment set a tight 25-day window for any rehearing petition, a deadline that passed without a filing from the Trump administration. Supreme Court rules permit such requests from losing parties, yet the justices have granted none since 1965, creating a high procedural barrier that aligns with traders' near-certain view that no rehearing will occur by December 31. Recent developments, including a follow-on executive order in August, have triggered separate litigation but show no path to revisiting the prior ruling within the timeframe. While late-breaking vacancies, extraordinary procedural maneuvers, or unforeseen docket shifts could theoretically intervene, these remain remote given institutional norms and the absence of any pending request.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật4% khả năng
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MỚI
Dec 31, 2026
4% khả năng
MỚI
MỚI
Dec 31, 2026
The Supreme Court struck down Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” in Trump v. Barbara (https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-365_4hdj.pdf) on June 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Supreme Court's June 30, 2026, decision upholding birthright citizenship under the Fourteenth Amendment set a tight 25-day window for any rehearing petition, a deadline that passed without a filing from the Trump administration. Supreme Court rules permit such requests from losing parties, yet the justices have granted none since 1965, creating a high procedural barrier that aligns with traders' near-certain view that no rehearing will occur by December 31. Recent developments, including a follow-on executive order in August, have triggered separate litigation but show no path to revisiting the prior ruling within the timeframe. While late-breaking vacancies, extraordinary procedural maneuvers, or unforeseen docket shifts could theoretically intervene, these remain remote given institutional norms and the absence of any pending request.
The Supreme Court struck down Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” in Trump v. Barbara (https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-365_4hdj.pdf) on June 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jul 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,719Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Supreme Court struck down Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” in Trump v. Barbara (https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-365_4hdj.pdf) on June 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The Supreme Court's June 30, 2026, decision upholding birthright citizenship under the Fourteenth Amendment set a tight 25-day window for any rehearing petition, a deadline that passed without a filing from the Trump administration. Supreme Court rules permit such requests from losing parties, yet the justices have granted none since 1965, creating a high procedural barrier that aligns with traders' near-certain view that no rehearing will occur by December 31. Recent developments, including a follow-on executive order in August, have triggered separate litigation but show no path to revisiting the prior ruling within the timeframe. While late-breaking vacancies, extraordinary procedural maneuvers, or unforeseen docket shifts could theoretically intervene, these remain remote given institutional norms and the absence of any pending request.
The Supreme Court struck down Donald Trump’s Executive Order “Protecting the Meaning and Value of American Citizenship” in Trump v. Barbara (https://www.supremecourt.gov/opinions/25pdf/25-365_4hdj.pdf) on June 30, 2026.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the Supreme Court of the United States grants a petition by the executive branch of the United States for a rehearing in that case by December 31, 2026 at 11:59PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A ruling to allow briefing on whether the Court should rehear the case will not be sufficient to resolve this market to “Yes”, nor will an amendment or correction to the Court's opinion that does not constitute a formal grant of rehearing.
If a Supreme Court ruling on this case denies a petition to rehear the case, or if no such petition is filed by the applicable deadlines, this market will resolve to “No”.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from the Supreme Court of the United States; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$1,719Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 13, 2026, 8:18 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...The Supreme Court's June 30, 2026, decision upholding birthright citizenship under the Fourteenth Amendment set a tight 25-day window for any rehearing petition, a deadline that passed without a filing from the Trump administration. Supreme Court rules permit such requests from losing parties, yet the justices have granted none since 1965, creating a high procedural barrier that aligns with traders' near-certain view that no rehearing will occur by December 31. Recent developments, including a follow-on executive order in August, have triggered separate litigation but show no path to revisiting the prior ruling within the timeframe. While late-breaking vacancies, extraordinary procedural maneuvers, or unforeseen docket shifts could theoretically intervene, these remain remote given institutional norms and the absence of any pending request.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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