South Carolina Republican legislative majorities advanced a congressional redistricting map in late May 2026 that redraws boundaries in the 6th District, previously held by longtime Democratic incumbent Jim Clyburn. This change reduces the district’s minority voter share and shifts it toward greater competitiveness ahead of the June 9 primaries and November general election. Trader consensus now assigns the Republican Party a 68.5% implied probability of winning the seat, reflecting the map’s potential impact on electoral math and historical voting patterns in the affected areas. Democratic candidates, including Clyburn, continue primary contests, while Republican contenders advance toward the general ballot. The timing of final map approval and any subsequent legal challenges remain key variables that could influence outcomes before November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtSC-06 House Election Winner
SC-06 House Election Winner
$17,270 KL.
$17,270 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
64%
Democratic Party
36%
$17,270 KL.
$17,270 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$9,767 KL.
64%
Democratic Party
$7,504 KL.
36%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina Republican legislative majorities advanced a congressional redistricting map in late May 2026 that redraws boundaries in the 6th District, previously held by longtime Democratic incumbent Jim Clyburn. This change reduces the district’s minority voter share and shifts it toward greater competitiveness ahead of the June 9 primaries and November general election. Trader consensus now assigns the Republican Party a 68.5% implied probability of winning the seat, reflecting the map’s potential impact on electoral math and historical voting patterns in the affected areas. Democratic candidates, including Clyburn, continue primary contests, while Republican contenders advance toward the general ballot. The timing of final map approval and any subsequent legal challenges remain key variables that could influence outcomes before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$17,270Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina Republican legislative majorities advanced a congressional redistricting map in late May 2026 that redraws boundaries in the 6th District, previously held by longtime Democratic incumbent Jim Clyburn. This change reduces the district’s minority voter share and shifts it toward greater competitiveness ahead of the June 9 primaries and November general election. Trader consensus now assigns the Republican Party a 68.5% implied probability of winning the seat, reflecting the map’s potential impact on electoral math and historical voting patterns in the affected areas. Democratic candidates, including Clyburn, continue primary contests, while Republican contenders advance toward the general ballot. The timing of final map approval and any subsequent legal challenges remain key variables that could influence outcomes before November 3.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$17,270Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina Republican legislative majorities advanced a congressional redistricting map in late May 2026 that redraws boundaries in the 6th District, previously held by longtime Democratic incumbent Jim Clyburn. This change reduces the district’s minority voter share and shifts it toward greater competitiveness ahead of the June 9 primaries and November general election. Trader consensus now assigns the Republican Party a 68.5% implied probability of winning the seat, reflecting the map’s potential impact on electoral math and historical voting patterns in the affected areas. Democratic candidates, including Clyburn, continue primary contests, while Republican contenders advance toward the general ballot. The timing of final map approval and any subsequent legal challenges remain key variables that could influence outcomes before November 3.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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