South Carolina's 1st Congressional District remains structurally favorable to Republicans in the 2026 open-seat race, with traders assigning the party a 69.5% implied probability of victory. The district's R+6 partisan voting index and Donald Trump's 13-point margin in 2024 provide a durable base-rate advantage that an open contest after Nancy Mace's gubernatorial bid has not erased. Multiple Republican primary candidates, including Mark Smith, have consolidated support ahead of the June 9 primary, while Democratic contenders such as Mac Deford face a narrower path in a district where the last head-to-head poll showed a narrow Republican edge. Recent candidate forums and filing activity have not altered the underlying partisan tilt.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtSC-01 House Election Winner
SC-01 House Election Winner
$38,375 KL.
$38,375 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
70%
Democratic Party
32%
$38,375 KL.
$38,375 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$6,696 KL.
70%
Democratic Party
$31,679 KL.
32%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 1st Congressional District remains structurally favorable to Republicans in the 2026 open-seat race, with traders assigning the party a 69.5% implied probability of victory. The district's R+6 partisan voting index and Donald Trump's 13-point margin in 2024 provide a durable base-rate advantage that an open contest after Nancy Mace's gubernatorial bid has not erased. Multiple Republican primary candidates, including Mark Smith, have consolidated support ahead of the June 9 primary, while Democratic contenders such as Mac Deford face a narrower path in a district where the last head-to-head poll showed a narrow Republican edge. Recent candidate forums and filing activity have not altered the underlying partisan tilt.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ET
Khối lượng
$38,375Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).South Carolina's 1st Congressional District remains structurally favorable to Republicans in the 2026 open-seat race, with traders assigning the party a 69.5% implied probability of victory. The district's R+6 partisan voting index and Donald Trump's 13-point margin in 2024 provide a durable base-rate advantage that an open contest after Nancy Mace's gubernatorial bid has not erased. Multiple Republican primary candidates, including Mark Smith, have consolidated support ahead of the June 9 primary, while Democratic contenders such as Mac Deford face a narrower path in a district where the last head-to-head poll showed a narrow Republican edge. Recent candidate forums and filing activity have not altered the underlying partisan tilt.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the SC-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$38,375Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:23 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...South Carolina's 1st Congressional District remains structurally favorable to Republicans in the 2026 open-seat race, with traders assigning the party a 69.5% implied probability of victory. The district's R+6 partisan voting index and Donald Trump's 13-point margin in 2024 provide a durable base-rate advantage that an open contest after Nancy Mace's gubernatorial bid has not erased. Multiple Republican primary candidates, including Mark Smith, have consolidated support ahead of the June 9 primary, while Democratic contenders such as Mac Deford face a narrower path in a district where the last head-to-head poll showed a narrow Republican edge. Recent candidate forums and filing activity have not altered the underlying partisan tilt.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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