Russia's September 18–20 State Duma election features United Russia expected to finish first by a wide margin, leaving the contest for third place primarily among LDPR, New People, and KPRF. Recent polling aggregates show these three parties clustered in the low-to-mid teens, with LDPR maintaining an edge through established regional networks, consistent mid-single-digit to low-double-digit support, and its positioning as a nationalist alternative. New People has posted gains from its merger activity and candidate list approvals earlier this year but trails in several late surveys. KPRF support has softened relative to prior cycles amid broader turnout dynamics. Traders price LDPR at 55.5% for third as the most probable outcome given these structural and polling patterns, with New People at 32.5% reflecting its momentum and KPRF at 10.5% indicating limited upside.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtRussia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Russia Parliamentary Election: 3rd Place
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 55%
New People (NL) 33%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 11%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) 2.9%
$74,694 KL.
$74,694 KL.
Sep 19, 2026
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
55%
New People (NL)
33%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
11%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
3%
Yabloko
1%
Civic Platform (GP)
<1%
United Russia (ER)
<1%
Rodina
<1%
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR) 55%
New People (NL) 33%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) 11%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP) 2.9%
$74,694 KL.
$74,694 KL.
Sep 19, 2026
Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)
$21,318 KL.
55%
New People (NL)
$15,520 KL.
33%
Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF)
$11,547 KL.
11%
A Just Russia – For Truth (SRZP)
$4,723 KL.
3%
Yabloko
$11,123 KL.
1%
Civic Platform (GP)
$2,409 KL.
<1%
United Russia (ER)
$4,103 KL.
<1%
Rodina
$3,951 KL.
<1%
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Russia's September 18–20 State Duma election features United Russia expected to finish first by a wide margin, leaving the contest for third place primarily among LDPR, New People, and KPRF. Recent polling aggregates show these three parties clustered in the low-to-mid teens, with LDPR maintaining an edge through established regional networks, consistent mid-single-digit to low-double-digit support, and its positioning as a nationalist alternative. New People has posted gains from its merger activity and candidate list approvals earlier this year but trails in several late surveys. KPRF support has softened relative to prior cycles amid broader turnout dynamics. Traders price LDPR at 55.5% for third as the most probable outcome given these structural and polling patterns, with New People at 32.5% reflecting its momentum and KPRF at 10.5% indicating limited upside.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Thị trường mở: Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ET
Khối lượng
$74,694Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.Russia's September 18–20 State Duma election features United Russia expected to finish first by a wide margin, leaving the contest for third place primarily among LDPR, New People, and KPRF. Recent polling aggregates show these three parties clustered in the low-to-mid teens, with LDPR maintaining an edge through established regional networks, consistent mid-single-digit to low-double-digit support, and its positioning as a nationalist alternative. New People has posted gains from its merger activity and candidate list approvals earlier this year but trails in several late surveys. KPRF support has softened relative to prior cycles amid broader turnout dynamics. Traders price LDPR at 55.5% for third as the most probable outcome given these structural and polling patterns, with New People at 32.5% reflecting its momentum and KPRF at 10.5% indicating limited upside.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia in September 2026.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
This market will resolve according to the political party that wins the third greatest number of seats in the next Russian State Duma election.
If the results are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The named parties or coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election. If two or more parties are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received, with higher vote totals ranking higher. If parties remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party abbreviations. This market will resolve to the party that occupies the third-highest finishing position after applying this ranking.
This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by the named party in the State Duma of the Federal Assembly of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Note: If a listed party contests the election as part of a jointly listed coalition with one or more parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the listed party will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If two or more listed parties contest the election as a jointly listed coalition, with or without additional parties not listed in this market, the market corresponding to the party within that coalition that won the most seats in the previous election will represent the coalition and will count all seats won by the coalition collectively. If such a coalition dissolves, each market will again represent its respective party individually.
Khối lượng
$74,694Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Apr 21, 2026, 3:42 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Russia's September 18–20 State Duma election features United Russia expected to finish first by a wide margin, leaving the contest for third place primarily among LDPR, New People, and KPRF. Recent polling aggregates show these three parties clustered in the low-to-mid teens, with LDPR maintaining an edge through established regional networks, consistent mid-single-digit to low-double-digit support, and its positioning as a nationalist alternative. New People has posted gains from its merger activity and candidate list approvals earlier this year but trails in several late surveys. KPRF support has softened relative to prior cycles amid broader turnout dynamics. Traders price LDPR at 55.5% for third as the most probable outcome given these structural and polling patterns, with New People at 32.5% reflecting its momentum and KPRF at 10.5% indicating limited upside.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLiên quan
Will New People (NL) win the fourth-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
46%
Will the Communist Party of the Russian Federation (KPRF) win the second-most seats in the next Russian parliamentary election?
90%
Liệu Nước Nga Thống Nhất (ER) có giành được nhiều ghế nhất trong cuộc bầu cử quốc hội Nga tiếp theo không?
99%
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