Russia’s Supreme Court ruling on August 10, 2026, removed the Yabloko party from the nationwide ballot for the September 18–20 State Duma elections after a lawsuit by the pro-Kremlin Rodina party cited alleged copyright violations, undeclared financing, and other procedural issues. This decision followed the Central Election Commission’s earlier registration of Yabloko’s federal list and single-mandate candidates, leaving the liberal, anti-war party unable to compete in the proportional representation system that requires at least 5 percent for seats. With the party excluded from official results, trader consensus reflects near-certainty of a “No” outcome. An appeal remains pending, though prior patterns of electoral administration and the proximity of voting limit prospects for reversal before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtRussia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
<1% khả năng
$551,040 KL.
$551,040 KL.
Sep 20, 2026
<1% khả năng
$551,040 KL.
$551,040 KL.
Sep 20, 2026
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Russia’s Supreme Court ruling on August 10, 2026, removed the Yabloko party from the nationwide ballot for the September 18–20 State Duma elections after a lawsuit by the pro-Kremlin Rodina party cited alleged copyright violations, undeclared financing, and other procedural issues. This decision followed the Central Election Commission’s earlier registration of Yabloko’s federal list and single-mandate candidates, leaving the liberal, anti-war party unable to compete in the proportional representation system that requires at least 5 percent for seats. With the party excluded from official results, trader consensus reflects near-certainty of a “No” outcome. An appeal remains pending, though prior patterns of electoral administration and the proximity of voting limit prospects for reversal before resolution.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Thị trường mở: Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ET
Khối lượng
$551,040Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.Russia’s Supreme Court ruling on August 10, 2026, removed the Yabloko party from the nationwide ballot for the September 18–20 State Duma elections after a lawsuit by the pro-Kremlin Rodina party cited alleged copyright violations, undeclared financing, and other procedural issues. This decision followed the Central Election Commission’s earlier registration of Yabloko’s federal list and single-mandate candidates, leaving the liberal, anti-war party unable to compete in the proportional representation system that requires at least 5 percent for seats. With the party excluded from official results, trader consensus reflects near-certainty of a “No” outcome. An appeal remains pending, though prior patterns of electoral administration and the proximity of voting limit prospects for reversal before resolution.
Parliamentary elections are scheduled to be held in Russia on September 20, 2026.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Yabloko party list receives a percentage of valid votes greater than or equal to the threshold to gain seats in the State Duma from the proportional representation system in the 2026 Russian parliamentary elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve solely according to the percentage of valid votes received by the Yabloko party list. Whether Yabloko is awarded any seats in the State Duma will have no bearing on resolution.
The applicable threshold will be the threshold in effect at the time of the specified election. As of the creation of this market, that threshold is 5% of valid votes.
If the Yabloko party list is not present on the nationwide ballot, or is otherwise excluded from the results of the specified election, this market will resolve to "No".
If the results of this election are not known definitively by September 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
This market will resolve based on the results of this election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results reported by Russian government sources such as the Central Election Commission of the Russian Federation.
Khối lượng
$551,040Ngày kết thúc
Sep 20, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 7, 2026, 9:57 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Russia’s Supreme Court ruling on August 10, 2026, removed the Yabloko party from the nationwide ballot for the September 18–20 State Duma elections after a lawsuit by the pro-Kremlin Rodina party cited alleged copyright violations, undeclared financing, and other procedural issues. This decision followed the Central Election Commission’s earlier registration of Yabloko’s federal list and single-mandate candidates, leaving the liberal, anti-war party unable to compete in the proportional representation system that requires at least 5 percent for seats. With the party excluded from official results, trader consensus reflects near-certainty of a “No” outcome. An appeal remains pending, though prior patterns of electoral administration and the proximity of voting limit prospects for reversal before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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