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icon for Portugal Legislative Election
Bầu Cử·Bầu Cử Lập Pháp

Portugal Legislative Election

icon for Portugal Legislative Election
Bầu Cử·Bầu Cử Lập Pháp

Portugal Legislative Election

$81,643 KL.

Mar 9, 2024
Polymarket

$81,643 KL.

Polymarket
icon for Socialist Party wins most votes?

Socialist Party wins most votes?

$28,799 KL.

No

icon for Socialist Party >30% of votes?

Socialist Party >30% of votes?

$12,586 KL.

No

icon for Dem. Alliance >30% of votes?

Dem. Alliance >30% of votes?

$12,415 KL.

No

icon for Chega >18% of votes?

Chega >18% of votes?

$27,844 KL.

Yes

Snap legislative elections are scheduled to take place on March 10, 2024 to elect members of the Assembly of the Republic (Assembleia da República) to the 16th Legislature of Portugal (XVI Legislatura da Terceira República Portuguesa). All 230 seats to the Assembly of the Republic are up for election. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Socialist Party (Partido Socialista, PS) wins the most votes in the 2024 Portuguese legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Portuguese government and/or information published through the official website of the National Elections Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE): https://www.cne.pt/content/eleicoes-referendos. However, a consensus of credible media reports will also suffice to resolve this market.Snap legislative elections are scheduled to take place on March 10, 2024 to elect members of the Assembly of the Republic (Assembleia da República) to the 16th Legislature of Portugal (XVI Legislatura da Terceira República Portuguesa). All 230 seats to the Assembly of the Republic are up for election. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Socialist Party (Partido Socialista, PS) wins over 30% of votes in the 2024 Portuguese legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The unrounded percent of the vote will be used for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Portuguese government and/or information published through the official website of the National Elections Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE): https://www.cne.pt/content/eleicoes-referendos. However, a consensus of credible media reports will also suffice to resolve this market.Snap legislative elections are scheduled to take place on March 10, 2024 to elect members of the Assembly of the Republic (Assembleia da República) to the 16th Legislature of Portugal (XVI Legislatura da Terceira República Portuguesa). All 230 seats to the Assembly of the Republic are up for election. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Democratic Alliance (Aliança Democrática, AD) wins over 30% of votes in the 2024 Portuguese legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The unrounded percent of the vote will be used for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Portuguese government and/or information published through the official website of the National Elections Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE): https://www.cne.pt/content/eleicoes-referendos. However, a consensus of credible media reports will also suffice to resolve this market.Snap legislative elections are scheduled to take place on March 10, 2024 to elect members of the Assembly of the Republic (Assembleia da República) to the 16th Legislature of Portugal (XVI Legislatura da Terceira República Portuguesa). All 230 seats to the Assembly of the Republic are up for election. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chega (CHEGA!) wins over 18% of votes in the 2024 Portuguese legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The unrounded percent of the vote will be used for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Portuguese government and/or information published through the official website of the National Elections Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE): https://www.cne.pt/content/eleicoes-referendos. However, a consensus of credible media reports will also suffice to resolve this market.

Snap legislative elections are scheduled to take place on March 10, 2024 to elect members of the Assembly of the Republic (Assembleia da República) to the 16th Legislature of Portugal (XVI Legislatura da Terceira República Portuguesa). All 230 seats to the Assembly of the Republic are up for election.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Socialist Party (Partido Socialista, PS) wins the most votes in the 2024 Portuguese legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Portuguese government and/or information published through the official website of the National Elections Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE): https://www.cne.pt/content/eleicoes-referendos. However, a consensus of credible media reports will also suffice to resolve this market.
Khối lượng
$81,643
Ngày kết thúc
Mar 10, 2024
Thị trường mở
Mar 6, 2024, 4:38 PM ET

Nguồn giải quyết

https://www.cne.pt/content/eleicoes-referendos

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
Snap legislative elections are scheduled to take place on March 10, 2024 to elect members of the Assembly of the Republic (Assembleia da República) to the 16th Legislature of Portugal (XVI Legislatura da Terceira República Portuguesa). All 230 seats to the Assembly of the Republic are up for election. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Socialist Party (Partido Socialista, PS) wins the most votes in the 2024 Portuguese legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Portuguese government and/or information published through the official website of the National Elections Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE): https://www.cne.pt/content/eleicoes-referendos. However, a consensus of credible media reports will also suffice to resolve this market.

Kết quả đề xuất: No

Không tranh chấp

Kết quả cuối cùng: No

Snap legislative elections are scheduled to take place on March 10, 2024 to elect members of the Assembly of the Republic (Assembleia da República) to the 16th Legislature of Portugal (XVI Legislatura da Terceira República Portuguesa). All 230 seats to the Assembly of the Republic are up for election. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Socialist Party (Partido Socialista, PS) wins the most votes in the 2024 Portuguese legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Portuguese government and/or information published through the official website of the National Elections Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE): https://www.cne.pt/content/eleicoes-referendos. However, a consensus of credible media reports will also suffice to resolve this market.Snap legislative elections are scheduled to take place on March 10, 2024 to elect members of the Assembly of the Republic (Assembleia da República) to the 16th Legislature of Portugal (XVI Legislatura da Terceira República Portuguesa). All 230 seats to the Assembly of the Republic are up for election. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Socialist Party (Partido Socialista, PS) wins over 30% of votes in the 2024 Portuguese legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The unrounded percent of the vote will be used for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Portuguese government and/or information published through the official website of the National Elections Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE): https://www.cne.pt/content/eleicoes-referendos. However, a consensus of credible media reports will also suffice to resolve this market.Snap legislative elections are scheduled to take place on March 10, 2024 to elect members of the Assembly of the Republic (Assembleia da República) to the 16th Legislature of Portugal (XVI Legislatura da Terceira República Portuguesa). All 230 seats to the Assembly of the Republic are up for election. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Democratic Alliance (Aliança Democrática, AD) wins over 30% of votes in the 2024 Portuguese legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The unrounded percent of the vote will be used for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Portuguese government and/or information published through the official website of the National Elections Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE): https://www.cne.pt/content/eleicoes-referendos. However, a consensus of credible media reports will also suffice to resolve this market.Snap legislative elections are scheduled to take place on March 10, 2024 to elect members of the Assembly of the Republic (Assembleia da República) to the 16th Legislature of Portugal (XVI Legislatura da Terceira República Portuguesa). All 230 seats to the Assembly of the Republic are up for election. This market will resolve to "Yes" if Chega (CHEGA!) wins over 18% of votes in the 2024 Portuguese legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The unrounded percent of the vote will be used for this market's resolution. The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Portuguese government and/or information published through the official website of the National Elections Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE): https://www.cne.pt/content/eleicoes-referendos. However, a consensus of credible media reports will also suffice to resolve this market.

Snap legislative elections are scheduled to take place on March 10, 2024 to elect members of the Assembly of the Republic (Assembleia da República) to the 16th Legislature of Portugal (XVI Legislatura da Terceira República Portuguesa). All 230 seats to the Assembly of the Republic are up for election.

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Socialist Party (Partido Socialista, PS) wins the most votes in the 2024 Portuguese legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Portuguese government and/or information published through the official website of the National Elections Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE): https://www.cne.pt/content/eleicoes-referendos. However, a consensus of credible media reports will also suffice to resolve this market.
Khối lượng
$81,643
Ngày kết thúc
Mar 10, 2024
Thị trường mở
Mar 6, 2024, 4:38 PM ET

Nguồn giải quyết

https://www.cne.pt/content/eleicoes-referendos

Resolver

0x6A9D22261...
Snap legislative elections are scheduled to take place on March 10, 2024 to elect members of the Assembly of the Republic (Assembleia da República) to the 16th Legislature of Portugal (XVI Legislatura da Terceira República Portuguesa). All 230 seats to the Assembly of the Republic are up for election. This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Socialist Party (Partido Socialista, PS) wins the most votes in the 2024 Portuguese legislative elections. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Portuguese government and/or information published through the official website of the National Elections Commission (Comissão Nacional de Eleições, CNE): https://www.cne.pt/content/eleicoes-referendos. However, a consensus of credible media reports will also suffice to resolve this market.

Kết quả đề xuất: No

Không tranh chấp

Kết quả cuối cùng: No

Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.

Câu hỏi thường gặp

"Portugal Legislative Election" là thị trường dự đoán trên Polymarket với 4 kết quả có thể nơi các nhà giao dịch mua và bán cổ phần dựa trên điều họ tin sẽ xảy ra. Kết quả dẫn đầu hiện tại là "Chega >18% of votes?" ở mức 100%, tiếp theo là "Socialist Party wins most votes?" ở mức 0%. Giá phản ánh xác suất cộng đồng theo thời gian thực. Ví dụ, cổ phần ở giá 100¢ ngụ ý thị trường tập thể cho rằng có 100% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Tỷ lệ này thay đổi liên tục khi trader phản ứng với diễn biến và thông tin mới. Cổ phần đúng kết quả có thể đổi lấy $1 mỗi cổ phần khi thị trường được giải quyết.

Tính đến hôm nay, "Portugal Legislative Election" đã tạo $81.6K tổng khối lượng giao dịch kể từ khi thị trường mở vào Mar 6, 2024. Mức hoạt động giao dịch này phản ánh sự tham gia mạnh mẽ từ cộng đồng Polymarket và giúp đảm bảo tỷ lệ hiện tại được thông tin bởi nhóm người tham gia thị trường sâu rộng. Bạn có thể theo dõi biến động giá trực tiếp và giao dịch trên bất kỳ kết quả nào ngay trên trang này.

Để giao dịch trên "Portugal Legislative Election," duyệt 4 kết quả có sẵn trên trang này. Mỗi kết quả hiển thị giá hiện tại đại diện cho xác suất ngụ ý của thị trường. Để mở vị thế, chọn kết quả bạn tin là có khả năng nhất, chọn "Có" để giao dịch ủng hộ hoặc "Không" để giao dịch chống, nhập số tiền và nhấn "Giao dịch." Nếu kết quả bạn chọn đúng khi thị trường giải quyết, cổ phần "Có" của bạn trả $1 mỗi cổ phần. Nếu sai, chúng trả $0. Bạn cũng có thể bán cổ phần bất cứ lúc nào trước khi giải quyết nếu muốn chốt lời hoặc cắt lỗ.

Ứng viên dẫn đầu hiện tại cho "Portugal Legislative Election" là "Chega >18% of votes?" ở mức 100%, nghĩa là thị trường cho 100% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Kết quả gần nhất tiếp theo là "Socialist Party wins most votes?" ở mức 0%. Tỷ lệ cập nhật theo thời gian thực khi trader mua và bán cổ phần, phản ánh cái nhìn tập thể mới nhất về điều có khả năng xảy ra nhất. Kiểm tra thường xuyên hoặc đánh dấu trang này để theo dõi tỷ lệ thay đổi khi thông tin mới xuất hiện.

Quy tắc giải quyết cho "Portugal Legislative Election" định nghĩa chính xác điều gì cần xảy ra để mỗi kết quả được tuyên bố thắng — bao gồm nguồn dữ liệu chính thức được sử dụng để xác định kết quả. Bạn có thể xem tiêu chí giải quyết đầy đủ trong phần "Quy tắc" trên trang này phía trên bình luận. Chúng tôi khuyên đọc kỹ quy tắc trước khi giao dịch, vì chúng chỉ rõ điều kiện, trường hợp ngoại lệ và nguồn chính xác quản lý cách thị trường được thanh toán.