Incumbent Raquel Lyra (PSD) leads trader consensus in the 2026 Pernambuco gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first round, reflecting her 2022 victory and current polling edge over main challenger João Campos (PSB). Recent surveys, including Genial/Quaest and others from July 2026, place Lyra at 43-47% in stimulated first-round scenarios versus Campos at 37-43%, with both candidates positioned for a potential runoff rematch. Lyra benefits from incumbency advantages, centrist party alignments, and cross-aisle support, while Campos draws on his Recife mayoral record and PSB base. Minor candidates such as Ivan Moraes (PSOL) register negligible shares. Scheduled debates and further polling releases through September could shift positioning before voting.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtRaquel Lyra 63%
João Campos 38%
Ivan Moraes <1%
$27,992 KL.
$27,992 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Raquel Lyra
63%
João Campos
38%
Ivan Moraes
<1%
Raquel Lyra 63%
João Campos 38%
Ivan Moraes <1%
$27,992 KL.
$27,992 KL.
Oct 4, 2026
Raquel Lyra
$12,222 KL.
63%
João Campos
$13,221 KL.
38%
Ivan Moraes
$2,549 KL.
<1%
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Incumbent Raquel Lyra (PSD) leads trader consensus in the 2026 Pernambuco gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first round, reflecting her 2022 victory and current polling edge over main challenger João Campos (PSB). Recent surveys, including Genial/Quaest and others from July 2026, place Lyra at 43-47% in stimulated first-round scenarios versus Campos at 37-43%, with both candidates positioned for a potential runoff rematch. Lyra benefits from incumbency advantages, centrist party alignments, and cross-aisle support, while Campos draws on his Recife mayoral record and PSB base. Minor candidates such as Ivan Moraes (PSOL) register negligible shares. Scheduled debates and further polling releases through September could shift positioning before voting.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Thị trường mở: Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ET
Khối lượng
$27,992Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).Incumbent Raquel Lyra (PSD) leads trader consensus in the 2026 Pernambuco gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first round, reflecting her 2022 victory and current polling edge over main challenger João Campos (PSB). Recent surveys, including Genial/Quaest and others from July 2026, place Lyra at 43-47% in stimulated first-round scenarios versus Campos at 37-43%, with both candidates positioned for a potential runoff rematch. Lyra benefits from incumbency advantages, centrist party alignments, and cross-aisle support, while Campos draws on his Recife mayoral record and PSB base. Minor candidates such as Ivan Moraes (PSOL) register negligible shares. Scheduled debates and further polling releases through September could shift positioning before voting.
The Pernambuco gubernatorial election is scheduled to take place in Brazil on October 4, 2026, with a runoff on October 25, 2026, if no candidate receives a majority of the valid votes in the first round.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins this election.
Temporary, interim, or placeholder governors appointed by any means before the specified election will not be considered.
If the result of this election isn't known by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".
This market will resolve based on the result of the election, as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the Brazilian government, specifically the Superior Electoral Court (Tribunal Superior Eleitoral, TSE) (e.g., www.tse.jus.br/eleicoes/resultados-eleicoes).
Khối lượng
$27,992Ngày kết thúc
Oct 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 9, 2026, 9:28 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Incumbent Raquel Lyra (PSD) leads trader consensus in the 2026 Pernambuco gubernatorial race ahead of the October 4 first round, reflecting her 2022 victory and current polling edge over main challenger João Campos (PSB). Recent surveys, including Genial/Quaest and others from July 2026, place Lyra at 43-47% in stimulated first-round scenarios versus Campos at 37-43%, with both candidates positioned for a potential runoff rematch. Lyra benefits from incumbency advantages, centrist party alignments, and cross-aisle support, while Campos draws on his Recife mayoral record and PSB base. Minor candidates such as Ivan Moraes (PSOL) register negligible shares. Scheduled debates and further polling releases through September could shift positioning before voting.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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