Wild Horse Nine leads trader sentiment in the 2027 Best Original Screenplay market at 53.5% implied probability, driven by Martin McDonagh’s recent Venice premiere buzz and his established awards track record with films like The Banshees of Inisherin. Positive early reviews highlighting the sharp, character-driven script, Malkovich-Rockwell chemistry, and timely political undertones have strengthened its frontrunner position ahead of the November theatrical rollout. A crowded field of original contenders—including Obsession, Digger, Fjord, The Debut, and Josephine—sits closely matched around 50% or lower, reflecting the early-stage uncertainty before full reviews, guild nominations, and precursor awards clarify momentum. Key upcoming catalysts include Telluride and Toronto screenings, WGA eligibility, and late-year critical consensus that could shift the wide-open race.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner
Oscars 2027: Best Original Screenplay Winner
Wild Horse Nine 54%
Digger 14%
The Debut 12.5%
Obsession 12%
$26,974 KL.
$26,974 KL.
Mar 14, 2027
Wild Horse Nine
54%
Digger
14%
The Debut
13%
Obsession
12%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
5%
The Black Ball
4%
The Drama
4%
A Place in Hell
4%
Club Kid
4%
Josephine
3%
The Odyssey
3%
Fjord
3%
The Invite
3%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
3%
Elsinore
2%
Fatherland
2%
Forgotten Island
1%
Wild Horse Nine 54%
Digger 14%
The Debut 12.5%
Obsession 12%
$26,974 KL.
$26,974 KL.
Mar 14, 2027
Wild Horse Nine
$22,806 KL.
54%
Digger
$1,130 KL.
14%
The Debut
$153 KL.
13%
Obsession
$454 KL.
12%
The Adventures of Cliff Booth
$106 KL.
5%
The Black Ball
$97 KL.
4%
The Drama
$39 KL.
4%
A Place in Hell
$59 KL.
4%
Club Kid
$43 KL.
4%
Josephine
$59 KL.
3%
The Odyssey
$59 KL.
3%
Fjord
$1,690 KL.
3%
The Invite
$59 KL.
3%
Teenage Sex and Death at Camp Miasma
$59 KL.
3%
Elsinore
$39 KL.
2%
Fatherland
$39 KL.
2%
Forgotten Island
$79 KL.
1%
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Wild Horse Nine leads trader sentiment in the 2027 Best Original Screenplay market at 53.5% implied probability, driven by Martin McDonagh’s recent Venice premiere buzz and his established awards track record with films like The Banshees of Inisherin. Positive early reviews highlighting the sharp, character-driven script, Malkovich-Rockwell chemistry, and timely political undertones have strengthened its frontrunner position ahead of the November theatrical rollout. A crowded field of original contenders—including Obsession, Digger, Fjord, The Debut, and Josephine—sits closely matched around 50% or lower, reflecting the early-stage uncertainty before full reviews, guild nominations, and precursor awards clarify momentum. Key upcoming catalysts include Telluride and Toronto screenings, WGA eligibility, and late-year critical consensus that could shift the wide-open race.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Khối lượng
$26,974Ngày kết thúc
Mar 14, 2027Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Wild Horse Nine leads trader sentiment in the 2027 Best Original Screenplay market at 53.5% implied probability, driven by Martin McDonagh’s recent Venice premiere buzz and his established awards track record with films like The Banshees of Inisherin. Positive early reviews highlighting the sharp, character-driven script, Malkovich-Rockwell chemistry, and timely political undertones have strengthened its frontrunner position ahead of the November theatrical rollout. A crowded field of original contenders—including Obsession, Digger, Fjord, The Debut, and Josephine—sits closely matched around 50% or lower, reflecting the early-stage uncertainty before full reviews, guild nominations, and precursor awards clarify momentum. Key upcoming catalysts include Telluride and Toronto screenings, WGA eligibility, and late-year critical consensus that could shift the wide-open race.
The Academy Awards are presented annually by the Academy of Motion Picture Arts and Sciences (AMPAS) to honor outstanding artistic and technical achievements in film. For the 99th Academy Awards in 2027, nominations are scheduled to be announced on January 21, followed by the ceremony on March 14, 2027.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Original Screenplay when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$26,974Ngày kết thúc
Mar 14, 2027Thị trường mở
Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Wild Horse Nine leads trader sentiment in the 2027 Best Original Screenplay market at 53.5% implied probability, driven by Martin McDonagh’s recent Venice premiere buzz and his established awards track record with films like The Banshees of Inisherin. Positive early reviews highlighting the sharp, character-driven script, Malkovich-Rockwell chemistry, and timely political undertones have strengthened its frontrunner position ahead of the November theatrical rollout. A crowded field of original contenders—including Obsession, Digger, Fjord, The Debut, and Josephine—sits closely matched around 50% or lower, reflecting the early-stage uncertainty before full reviews, guild nominations, and precursor awards clarify momentum. Key upcoming catalysts include Telluride and Toronto screenings, WGA eligibility, and late-year critical consensus that could shift the wide-open race.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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