**With the 2027 Oscars still months away and eligibility ongoing, trader sentiment for Best Documentary Feature reflects a wide-open race where no single title has consolidated support.** Other sits at 50% implied probability, underscoring the fragmented field, while Once Upon a Time in Harlem (14%) and American Doctor (13.5%) lead named contenders on strong festival reception and distributor momentum. Harlem, completed from 1972 William Greaves footage of a Harlem Renaissance gathering, earned universal acclaim and multiple high-profile premieres, positioning it as a critical darling with historical resonance. American Doctor, tracking U.S. physicians in Gaza, has drawn audience awards and timely humanitarian attention. Lower-odds entries like One in a Million, Musk, and Nuisance Bear add competition through distinct subjects and early buzz, but the documentary branch’s preference for impactful, well-reviewed works leaves room for late surges or unlisted titles. Key catalysts ahead include fall festival results, guild precursors, and final eligibility cutoffs.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOscars 2027: Best Documentary Feature Film Winner
American Doctor 14%
Once Upon a Time in Harlem 13%
One in a Million 7%
Musk 5.0%
$22,416 KL.
$22,416 KL.
American Doctor
14%
Once Upon a Time in Harlem
13%
One in a Million
7%
Musk
5%
Tutu
4%
Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party
4%
Nuisance Bear
3%
American Doctor 14%
Once Upon a Time in Harlem 13%
One in a Million 7%
Musk 5.0%
$22,416 KL.
$22,416 KL.
American Doctor
14%
Once Upon a Time in Harlem
13%
One in a Million
7%
Musk
5%
Tutu
4%
Sometimes, I Imagine Them All at a Party
4%
Nuisance Bear
3%
This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Aug 6, 2026, 4:40 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the listed film that wins the 99th Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film.
If a film is not officially nominated for the Academy Award for Best Documentary Feature Film when the 2027 nominees are announced, the corresponding market will immediately resolve to "No".
In case of a tie for the winner, this market will resolve in favor of the nominated film whose listed title comes first in alphabetical order.
If, for any reason, no winner is declared by June 30, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the Academy Awards and AMPAS, including data from their website (e.g., https://www.oscars.org/) and the live broadcast of the award ceremony; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...**With the 2027 Oscars still months away and eligibility ongoing, trader sentiment for Best Documentary Feature reflects a wide-open race where no single title has consolidated support.** Other sits at 50% implied probability, underscoring the fragmented field, while Once Upon a Time in Harlem (14%) and American Doctor (13.5%) lead named contenders on strong festival reception and distributor momentum. Harlem, completed from 1972 William Greaves footage of a Harlem Renaissance gathering, earned universal acclaim and multiple high-profile premieres, positioning it as a critical darling with historical resonance. American Doctor, tracking U.S. physicians in Gaza, has drawn audience awards and timely humanitarian attention. Lower-odds entries like One in a Million, Musk, and Nuisance Bear add competition through distinct subjects and early buzz, but the documentary branch’s preference for impactful, well-reviewed works leaves room for late surges or unlisted titles. Key catalysts ahead include fall festival results, guild precursors, and final eligibility cutoffs.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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