Oklahoma's strong Republican partisan lean and electoral history underpin trader consensus for a Republican winner at 92.5 percent implied probability. The seat opened after incumbent Markwayne Mullin resigned in March 2026 to become secretary of homeland security, prompting Governor Kevin Stitt's appointment of Alan Armstrong to serve until January 2027; Armstrong is ineligible for a full term. Nonpartisan ratings classify the November 3, 2026 contest as solid or safe Republican, with June 16 primaries featuring multiple GOP contenders and limited Democratic primary activity yielding no polling evidence of general-election viability. A Democratic victory would require an unusually strong nominee, significant Republican primary divisions, or turnout patterns far outside historical norms in this R+17 to R+50 state.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtOklahoma Senate Election Winner
Oklahoma Senate Election Winner
$13,920 KL.
$13,920 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
93%
Democrat
7%
$13,920 KL.
$13,920 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$8,562 KL.
93%
Democrat
$5,358 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's strong Republican partisan lean and electoral history underpin trader consensus for a Republican winner at 92.5 percent implied probability. The seat opened after incumbent Markwayne Mullin resigned in March 2026 to become secretary of homeland security, prompting Governor Kevin Stitt's appointment of Alan Armstrong to serve until January 2027; Armstrong is ineligible for a full term. Nonpartisan ratings classify the November 3, 2026 contest as solid or safe Republican, with June 16 primaries featuring multiple GOP contenders and limited Democratic primary activity yielding no polling evidence of general-election viability. A Democratic victory would require an unusually strong nominee, significant Republican primary divisions, or turnout patterns far outside historical norms in this R+17 to R+50 state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Khối lượng
$13,920Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Oklahoma's strong Republican partisan lean and electoral history underpin trader consensus for a Republican winner at 92.5 percent implied probability. The seat opened after incumbent Markwayne Mullin resigned in March 2026 to become secretary of homeland security, prompting Governor Kevin Stitt's appointment of Alan Armstrong to serve until January 2027; Armstrong is ineligible for a full term. Nonpartisan ratings classify the November 3, 2026 contest as solid or safe Republican, with June 16 primaries featuring multiple GOP contenders and limited Democratic primary activity yielding no polling evidence of general-election viability. A Democratic victory would require an unusually strong nominee, significant Republican primary divisions, or turnout patterns far outside historical norms in this R+17 to R+50 state.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Oklahoma U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$13,920Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Oklahoma's strong Republican partisan lean and electoral history underpin trader consensus for a Republican winner at 92.5 percent implied probability. The seat opened after incumbent Markwayne Mullin resigned in March 2026 to become secretary of homeland security, prompting Governor Kevin Stitt's appointment of Alan Armstrong to serve until January 2027; Armstrong is ineligible for a full term. Nonpartisan ratings classify the November 3, 2026 contest as solid or safe Republican, with June 16 primaries featuring multiple GOP contenders and limited Democratic primary activity yielding no polling evidence of general-election viability. A Democratic victory would require an unusually strong nominee, significant Republican primary divisions, or turnout patterns far outside historical norms in this R+17 to R+50 state.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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