**Mark Tedford secured the Republican nomination for Oklahoma’s 1st Congressional District after finishing first in the June 16 primary with roughly 32% of the vote and advancing to an August runoff that was later canceled.** In a crowded field of more than ten candidates, Tedford outperformed Trump-endorsed pastor Jackson Lahmeyer (approximately 26%) and the rest of the field, including businessman Nathan Butterfield. Lahmeyer subsequently withdrew, prompting Trump to shift his endorsement to Tedford. This combination of primary results, withdrawal, and high-profile backing has produced near-unanimous trader consensus that Tedford is the nominee. The market prices reflect the effective resolution of the contest in Tedford’s favor. A reversal would require an extraordinary development such as Lahmeyer reversing his withdrawal before any formal certification or an unforeseen procedural challenge—both considered highly remote given the timeline and current dynamics.