The Democratic Party's 62% implied probability in the NV-01 House race reflects the district's D+2 partisan voter index and incumbent Dina Titus's established position ahead of the June 9 primaries and November general election. Analyst ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Likely or Lean Democratic, consistent with its recent voting patterns. Multiple Republican primary contenders, including state Sen. Carrie Buck, have not yet produced a frontrunner capable of narrowing the gap in this urban Las Vegas-area district. With filing deadlines passed and limited polling available this early in the cycle, trader consensus aligns with structural factors favoring the Democratic nominee in the general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNV-01 House Election Winner
NV-01 House Election Winner
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
39%
Democratic Party
49%
MỚI
MỚI
Nov 4, 2026
Republican Party
$896 KL.
39%
Democratic Party
$1,306 KL.
49%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party's 62% implied probability in the NV-01 House race reflects the district's D+2 partisan voter index and incumbent Dina Titus's established position ahead of the June 9 primaries and November general election. Analyst ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Likely or Lean Democratic, consistent with its recent voting patterns. Multiple Republican primary contenders, including state Sen. Carrie Buck, have not yet produced a frontrunner capable of narrowing the gap in this urban Las Vegas-area district. With filing deadlines passed and limited polling available this early in the cycle, trader consensus aligns with structural factors favoring the Democratic nominee in the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ET
Khối lượng
$2,202Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).The Democratic Party's 62% implied probability in the NV-01 House race reflects the district's D+2 partisan voter index and incumbent Dina Titus's established position ahead of the June 9 primaries and November general election. Analyst ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Likely or Lean Democratic, consistent with its recent voting patterns. Multiple Republican primary contenders, including state Sen. Carrie Buck, have not yet produced a frontrunner capable of narrowing the gap in this urban Las Vegas-area district. With filing deadlines passed and limited polling available this early in the cycle, trader consensus aligns with structural factors favoring the Democratic nominee in the general election.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the NV-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$2,202Ngày kết thúc
Nov 4, 2026Thị trường mở
Dec 16, 2025, 12:24 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...The Democratic Party's 62% implied probability in the NV-01 House race reflects the district's D+2 partisan voter index and incumbent Dina Titus's established position ahead of the June 9 primaries and November general election. Analyst ratings from Cook, Inside Elections, and Sabato's Crystal Ball classify the seat as Likely or Lean Democratic, consistent with its recent voting patterns. Multiple Republican primary contenders, including state Sen. Carrie Buck, have not yet produced a frontrunner capable of narrowing the gap in this urban Las Vegas-area district. With filing deadlines passed and limited polling available this early in the cycle, trader consensus aligns with structural factors favoring the Democratic nominee in the general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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