Trader consensus favors Stefany Shaheen at 56.5% to win New Hampshire's 1st Congressional District Democratic primary on September 8, driven by her consistent polling lead—33% in the January University of New Hampshire survey among likely voters—and strong name recognition as daughter of retiring U.S. Sen. Jeanne Shaheen. Maura Sullivan trails at 29.5% on the strength of her fundraising dominance, raising $2.6 million overall with $1.47 million cash on hand as of March 31, outpacing Shaheen's $1.8 million and $1.11 million. Carleigh Beriont's 10.5% reflects modest local support as a Hampton select board member and $385,000 raised, while Heath Howard lags at 4.9% despite 10% in the latest poll. Recent Q1 fundraising reports and an April 9 candidate forum highlight a competitive field with 39% undecided voters, leaving room for endorsements or shifts ahead of the open-seat contest.