This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The official launch of the casting process for Bond 26 in mid-May has driven the overwhelming market consensus that no actor has been selected. Amazon MGM Studios confirmed auditions are underway under veteran casting director Nina Gold, with reports indicating a deliberate search for a relatively unknown British “fresh face” to reboot the franchise under Denis Villeneuve. While names such as Callum Turner, Jacob Elordi, and Aaron Taylor-Johnson continue to generate speculation and bookmakers’ attention, none have secured confirmed meetings or offers that would shift the outcome. The absence of any guild, studio, or official signals keeps the field wide open, with traders pricing in the likelihood that the process will extend well into 2026 before resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The official launch of the casting process for Bond 26 in mid-May has driven the overwhelming market consensus that no actor has been selected. Amazon MGM Studios confirmed auditions are underway under veteran casting director Nina Gold, with reports indicating a deliberate search for a relatively unknown British “fresh face” to reboot the franchise under Denis Villeneuve. While names such as Callum Turner, Jacob Elordi, and Aaron Taylor-Johnson continue to generate speculation and bookmakers’ attention, none have secured confirmed meetings or offers that would shift the outcome. The absence of any guild, studio, or official signals keeps the field wide open, with traders pricing in the likelihood that the process will extend well into 2026 before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
May 15 2026
Variety reports auditions underway for next James Bond with Nina Gold casting director
Variety reported that auditions for the next James Bond have begun, with Nina Gold leading the casting. This confirmed the official start of the casting process, reinforcing market expectations of an imminent announcement and contributing to the rise in 'No Bond chosen' odds as uncertainty remains.
May 14 2026
Amazon MGM Studios officially begins casting for next James Bond
Amazon MGM Studios announced that auditions for the next James Bond actor had officially started, with casting director Nina Gold leading the search. This marked a significant step in the casting process, confirming that no actor had yet been chosen but the search was active.
May 14 2026
Amazon MGM Studios officially announces casting search for next James Bond has begun
Amazon MGM Studios confirmed that the search for the next James Bond actor is underway, with auditions starting and casting director Nina Gold leading the process. This official announcement increased market confidence that a casting decision will be made soon, impacting all outcomes.
May 4 2026
Jacob Elordi suffers foot injury, raising questions about Bond odds
Jacob Elordi dips to 3%1%
Jacob Elordi broke his foot, causing him to miss the Cannes Film Festival jury duties. While the injury's impact on his James Bond chances was uncertain, it coincided with a slight drop in his market odds, reflecting some concern about potential production delays or availability.
Apr 15 2026
Amazon MGM Studios urges patience on James Bond casting announcement
Amazon MGM Studios executives publicly urged fans to be patient regarding the casting announcement for the next James Bond, emphasizing the care and respect being taken in the process. This statement tempered market expectations and contributed to the high probability that no Bond had been chosen yet.
Apr 1 2026
Official reveal of next James Bond actor after years of speculation
No Bond chosen jumps to 89%14%
After years of rumors and speculation, the identity of the next James Bond was officially revealed, ending the market uncertainty and speculation.
Apr 1 2026
Euronews reveals Jacob Elordi as next James Bond amid ongoing speculation
Euronews Culture officially revealed Jacob Elordi as the next James Bond, confirming widespread rumors and speculation. This announcement influenced market prices, though no formal studio confirmation was made at the time.
Apr 1 2026
Official reveal of next James Bond actor expected soon
Reports indicated that the identity of the next James Bond actor was expected to be revealed soon, with Jacob Elordi considered a leading candidate. The announcement was anticipated as the production timeline for Bond 26 approached, increasing market activity and speculation.
Feb 20 2026
Industry insider denies Jacob Elordi has been cast as James Bond
Jacob Elordi drops to 7%8%
Matt Belloni of Puck News stated there is no actor cast as James Bond yet and the script is still being written, contradicting rumors about Elordi's casting. This caused a decline in Elordi's market odds and increased uncertainty in the market.
Jan 23 2026
Jacob Elordi reportedly in advanced talks with director Denis Villeneuve for James Bond role
Jacob Elordi jumps to 15%8%
Reports emerged that Jacob Elordi had met with director Denis Villeneuve and producers, suggesting advanced discussions for the Bond role. This fueled speculation and briefly increased Elordi's market odds as a frontrunner.
Jan 22 2026
Jacob Elordi reported as frontrunner after meetings with Denis Villeneuve and Amazon
Jacob Elordi rises to 51%1%
Multiple sources reported that Jacob Elordi had met with director Denis Villeneuve and Amazon executives, positioning him as the frontrunner for the next James Bond. This news increased his market odds and media buzz, although no official offer had been made yet.
Jan 7 2026
Reports claim Jacob Elordi is frontrunner for next James Bond after meetings with Villeneuve
Jacob Elordi plunges to 22%28%
Multiple sources reported that Jacob Elordi had met with director Denis Villeneuve and Amazon executives, positioning him as the frontrunner for the role. This news caused a surge in market interest and betting odds favoring Elordi.
Dec 4 2025
Callum Turner emerges as new favorite for James Bond role
Callum Turner surges to 66%16%
Reports surfaced that Callum Turner had become the new favorite to play James Bond, overtaking previous frontrunners. His recent performances and public profile, along with his engagement to Dua Lipa, increased his visibility and betting odds, pushing his market price up significantly.
Dec 4 2025
Callum Turner emerges as favorite for next James Bond amid rumors
Rumors intensified that Callum Turner was the leading candidate for the next James Bond, fueled by reports of his alignment with director Denis Villeneuve and Amazon's reboot plans. Bookmakers shortened his odds significantly, reflecting growing market confidence in his casting.
Dec 4 2025
Callum Turner rumored to have landed James Bond role, Dua Lipa eyed for theme song
Callum Turner surges to 66%16%
The Daily Mail reported that Callum Turner has been telling friends he is the new James Bond, with Dua Lipa potentially involved in the film's theme song. This rumor caused a surge in Turner's market odds, positioning him as a leading contender.
Dec 4 2025
Reports claim Callum Turner has landed the role of James Bond
The Daily Mail reported that Callum Turner has been telling friends he is the new James Bond, intensifying rumors and speculation. This news caused a spike in market interest and betting odds favoring Turner.
Nov 23 2025
Aaron Taylor-Johnson hints at being next James Bond
Aaron Taylor-Johnson rises to 14%4%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson appeared to drop a hint about becoming the next James Bond, which briefly influenced market sentiment though no official confirmation was made.
Nov 23 2025
Aaron Taylor-Johnson debuts new look sparking Bond casting buzz
Aaron Taylor-Johnson rises to 10%3%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson's new look at the London Film Festival reignited speculation about his suitability for James Bond, briefly boosting his market odds before they declined again.
Oct 20 2025
Tom Holland ruled out as next James Bond due to Marvel contract
Tom Holland plunges to 1%43%
Reports emerged that Tom Holland would not be able to take the role of James Bond because his contract with Marvel Studios prohibits him from playing other superhero roles that could overshadow his Spider-Man character, effectively removing him from contention.
Oct 19 2025
Tom Holland ruled out as next James Bond due to Marvel contract
Tom Holland drops to 1%6%
Reports emerged that Tom Holland could not be cast as James Bond because his Marvel contract prohibits him from taking roles that overshadow his Spider-Man character. This news led to a sharp decline in his market odds.
Sep 4 2025
Amazon MGM Studios announces Denis Villeneuve as director for next James Bond film
Denis Villeneuve was officially announced as the director of the next James Bond film, signaling a new creative direction under Amazon MGM Studios. This announcement sparked speculation about the casting of a fresh face for Bond, influencing market interest in potential actors.
Aug 5 2025
Callum Turner emerges as bookmakers' favorite for next James Bond
Callum Turner jumps to 50%6%
Callum Turner became the leading name in the race to be the next James Bond, with bookmakers slashing odds in his favor. This surge was linked to his rising profile and engagement to Dua Lipa, sparking increased betting activity and market confidence in his casting.
Aug 5 2025
Variety reports Jacob Elordi, Tom Holland, and Harris Dickinson top Amazon's list for next James Bond
Variety reported insiders saying Amazon and producers are interested in casting a British actor under 30, with Jacob Elordi, Tom Holland, and Harris Dickinson as top candidates. This news boosted Elordi's market position as a frontrunner, reflecting a shift towards younger actors.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.The official launch of the casting process for Bond 26 in mid-May has driven the overwhelming market consensus that no actor has been selected. Amazon MGM Studios confirmed auditions are underway under veteran casting director Nina Gold, with reports indicating a deliberate search for a relatively unknown British “fresh face” to reboot the franchise under Denis Villeneuve. While names such as Callum Turner, Jacob Elordi, and Aaron Taylor-Johnson continue to generate speculation and bookmakers’ attention, none have secured confirmed meetings or offers that would shift the outcome. The absence of any guild, studio, or official signals keeps the field wide open, with traders pricing in the likelihood that the process will extend well into 2026 before resolution.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if the above actor is officially announced as the next James Bond actor by June 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
The official launch of the casting process for Bond 26 in mid-May has driven the overwhelming market consensus that no actor has been selected. Amazon MGM Studios confirmed auditions are underway under veteran casting director Nina Gold, with reports indicating a deliberate search for a relatively unknown British “fresh face” to reboot the franchise under Denis Villeneuve. While names such as Callum Turner, Jacob Elordi, and Aaron Taylor-Johnson continue to generate speculation and bookmakers’ attention, none have secured confirmed meetings or offers that would shift the outcome. The absence of any guild, studio, or official signals keeps the field wide open, with traders pricing in the likelihood that the process will extend well into 2026 before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
May 15 2026
Variety reports auditions underway for next James Bond with Nina Gold casting director
Variety reported that auditions for the next James Bond have begun, with Nina Gold leading the casting. This confirmed the official start of the casting process, reinforcing market expectations of an imminent announcement and contributing to the rise in 'No Bond chosen' odds as uncertainty remains.
May 14 2026
Amazon MGM Studios officially begins casting for next James Bond
Amazon MGM Studios announced that auditions for the next James Bond actor had officially started, with casting director Nina Gold leading the search. This marked a significant step in the casting process, confirming that no actor had yet been chosen but the search was active.
May 14 2026
Amazon MGM Studios officially announces casting search for next James Bond has begun
Amazon MGM Studios confirmed that the search for the next James Bond actor is underway, with auditions starting and casting director Nina Gold leading the process. This official announcement increased market confidence that a casting decision will be made soon, impacting all outcomes.
May 4 2026
Jacob Elordi suffers foot injury, raising questions about Bond odds
Jacob Elordi dips to 3%1%
Jacob Elordi broke his foot, causing him to miss the Cannes Film Festival jury duties. While the injury's impact on his James Bond chances was uncertain, it coincided with a slight drop in his market odds, reflecting some concern about potential production delays or availability.
Apr 15 2026
Amazon MGM Studios urges patience on James Bond casting announcement
Amazon MGM Studios executives publicly urged fans to be patient regarding the casting announcement for the next James Bond, emphasizing the care and respect being taken in the process. This statement tempered market expectations and contributed to the high probability that no Bond had been chosen yet.
Apr 1 2026
Official reveal of next James Bond actor after years of speculation
No Bond chosen jumps to 89%14%
After years of rumors and speculation, the identity of the next James Bond was officially revealed, ending the market uncertainty and speculation.
Apr 1 2026
Euronews reveals Jacob Elordi as next James Bond amid ongoing speculation
Euronews Culture officially revealed Jacob Elordi as the next James Bond, confirming widespread rumors and speculation. This announcement influenced market prices, though no formal studio confirmation was made at the time.
Apr 1 2026
Official reveal of next James Bond actor expected soon
Reports indicated that the identity of the next James Bond actor was expected to be revealed soon, with Jacob Elordi considered a leading candidate. The announcement was anticipated as the production timeline for Bond 26 approached, increasing market activity and speculation.
Feb 20 2026
Industry insider denies Jacob Elordi has been cast as James Bond
Jacob Elordi drops to 7%8%
Matt Belloni of Puck News stated there is no actor cast as James Bond yet and the script is still being written, contradicting rumors about Elordi's casting. This caused a decline in Elordi's market odds and increased uncertainty in the market.
Jan 23 2026
Jacob Elordi reportedly in advanced talks with director Denis Villeneuve for James Bond role
Jacob Elordi jumps to 15%8%
Reports emerged that Jacob Elordi had met with director Denis Villeneuve and producers, suggesting advanced discussions for the Bond role. This fueled speculation and briefly increased Elordi's market odds as a frontrunner.
Jan 22 2026
Jacob Elordi reported as frontrunner after meetings with Denis Villeneuve and Amazon
Jacob Elordi rises to 51%1%
Multiple sources reported that Jacob Elordi had met with director Denis Villeneuve and Amazon executives, positioning him as the frontrunner for the next James Bond. This news increased his market odds and media buzz, although no official offer had been made yet.
Jan 7 2026
Reports claim Jacob Elordi is frontrunner for next James Bond after meetings with Villeneuve
Jacob Elordi plunges to 22%28%
Multiple sources reported that Jacob Elordi had met with director Denis Villeneuve and Amazon executives, positioning him as the frontrunner for the role. This news caused a surge in market interest and betting odds favoring Elordi.
Dec 4 2025
Callum Turner emerges as new favorite for James Bond role
Callum Turner surges to 66%16%
Reports surfaced that Callum Turner had become the new favorite to play James Bond, overtaking previous frontrunners. His recent performances and public profile, along with his engagement to Dua Lipa, increased his visibility and betting odds, pushing his market price up significantly.
Dec 4 2025
Callum Turner emerges as favorite for next James Bond amid rumors
Rumors intensified that Callum Turner was the leading candidate for the next James Bond, fueled by reports of his alignment with director Denis Villeneuve and Amazon's reboot plans. Bookmakers shortened his odds significantly, reflecting growing market confidence in his casting.
Dec 4 2025
Callum Turner rumored to have landed James Bond role, Dua Lipa eyed for theme song
Callum Turner surges to 66%16%
The Daily Mail reported that Callum Turner has been telling friends he is the new James Bond, with Dua Lipa potentially involved in the film's theme song. This rumor caused a surge in Turner's market odds, positioning him as a leading contender.
Dec 4 2025
Reports claim Callum Turner has landed the role of James Bond
The Daily Mail reported that Callum Turner has been telling friends he is the new James Bond, intensifying rumors and speculation. This news caused a spike in market interest and betting odds favoring Turner.
Nov 23 2025
Aaron Taylor-Johnson hints at being next James Bond
Aaron Taylor-Johnson rises to 14%4%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson appeared to drop a hint about becoming the next James Bond, which briefly influenced market sentiment though no official confirmation was made.
Nov 23 2025
Aaron Taylor-Johnson debuts new look sparking Bond casting buzz
Aaron Taylor-Johnson rises to 10%3%
Aaron Taylor-Johnson's new look at the London Film Festival reignited speculation about his suitability for James Bond, briefly boosting his market odds before they declined again.
Oct 20 2025
Tom Holland ruled out as next James Bond due to Marvel contract
Tom Holland plunges to 1%43%
Reports emerged that Tom Holland would not be able to take the role of James Bond because his contract with Marvel Studios prohibits him from playing other superhero roles that could overshadow his Spider-Man character, effectively removing him from contention.
Oct 19 2025
Tom Holland ruled out as next James Bond due to Marvel contract
Tom Holland drops to 1%6%
Reports emerged that Tom Holland could not be cast as James Bond because his Marvel contract prohibits him from taking roles that overshadow his Spider-Man character. This news led to a sharp decline in his market odds.
Sep 4 2025
Amazon MGM Studios announces Denis Villeneuve as director for next James Bond film
Denis Villeneuve was officially announced as the director of the next James Bond film, signaling a new creative direction under Amazon MGM Studios. This announcement sparked speculation about the casting of a fresh face for Bond, influencing market interest in potential actors.
Aug 5 2025
Callum Turner emerges as bookmakers' favorite for next James Bond
Callum Turner jumps to 50%6%
Callum Turner became the leading name in the race to be the next James Bond, with bookmakers slashing odds in his favor. This surge was linked to his rising profile and engagement to Dua Lipa, sparking increased betting activity and market confidence in his casting.
Aug 5 2025
Variety reports Jacob Elordi, Tom Holland, and Harris Dickinson top Amazon's list for next James Bond
Variety reported insiders saying Amazon and producers are interested in casting a British actor under 30, with Jacob Elordi, Tom Holland, and Harris Dickinson as top candidates. This news boosted Elordi's market position as a frontrunner, reflecting a shift towards younger actors.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp
"Diễn viên James Bond tiếp theo?" là thị trường dự đoán trên Polymarket với 15 kết quả có thể nơi các nhà giao dịch mua và bán cổ phần dựa trên điều họ tin sẽ xảy ra. Kết quả dẫn đầu hiện tại là "Chưa chọn Bond" ở mức 89%, tiếp theo là "Callum Turner" ở mức 3%. Giá phản ánh xác suất cộng đồng theo thời gian thực. Ví dụ, cổ phần ở giá 89¢ ngụ ý thị trường tập thể cho rằng có 89% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Tỷ lệ này thay đổi liên tục khi trader phản ứng với diễn biến và thông tin mới. Cổ phần đúng kết quả có thể đổi lấy $1 mỗi cổ phần khi thị trường được giải quyết.
Tính đến hôm nay, "Diễn viên James Bond tiếp theo?" đã tạo $3 million tổng khối lượng giao dịch kể từ khi thị trường mở vào Aug 4, 2025. Mức hoạt động giao dịch này phản ánh sự tham gia mạnh mẽ từ cộng đồng Polymarket và giúp đảm bảo tỷ lệ hiện tại được thông tin bởi nhóm người tham gia thị trường sâu rộng. Bạn có thể theo dõi biến động giá trực tiếp và giao dịch trên bất kỳ kết quả nào ngay trên trang này.
Để giao dịch trên "Diễn viên James Bond tiếp theo?," duyệt 15 kết quả có sẵn trên trang này. Mỗi kết quả hiển thị giá hiện tại đại diện cho xác suất ngụ ý của thị trường. Để mở vị thế, chọn kết quả bạn tin là có khả năng nhất, chọn "Có" để giao dịch ủng hộ hoặc "Không" để giao dịch chống, nhập số tiền và nhấn "Giao dịch." Nếu kết quả bạn chọn đúng khi thị trường giải quyết, cổ phần "Có" của bạn trả $1 mỗi cổ phần. Nếu sai, chúng trả $0. Bạn cũng có thể bán cổ phần bất cứ lúc nào trước khi giải quyết nếu muốn chốt lời hoặc cắt lỗ.
Ứng viên dẫn đầu hiện tại cho "Diễn viên James Bond tiếp theo?" là "Chưa chọn Bond" ở mức 89%, nghĩa là thị trường cho 89% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Kết quả gần nhất tiếp theo là "Callum Turner" ở mức 3%. Tỷ lệ cập nhật theo thời gian thực khi trader mua và bán cổ phần, phản ánh cái nhìn tập thể mới nhất về điều có khả năng xảy ra nhất. Kiểm tra thường xuyên hoặc đánh dấu trang này để theo dõi tỷ lệ thay đổi khi thông tin mới xuất hiện.
Quy tắc giải quyết cho "Diễn viên James Bond tiếp theo?" định nghĩa chính xác điều gì cần xảy ra để mỗi kết quả được tuyên bố thắng — bao gồm nguồn dữ liệu chính thức được sử dụng để xác định kết quả. Bạn có thể xem tiêu chí giải quyết đầy đủ trong phần "Quy tắc" trên trang này phía trên bình luận. Chúng tôi khuyên đọc kỹ quy tắc trước khi giao dịch, vì chúng chỉ rõ điều kiện, trường hợp ngoại lệ và nguồn chính xác quản lý cách thị trường được thanh toán.
Có. Bạn không cần giao dịch để cập nhật thông tin. Trang này đóng vai trò theo dõi trực tiếp cho "Diễn viên James Bond tiếp theo?." Xác suất kết quả cập nhật theo thời gian thực khi có giao dịch mới. Bạn có thể đánh dấu trang này và kiểm tra phần bình luận để xem trader khác đang nói gì. Bạn cũng có thể sử dụng bộ lọc khoảng thời gian trên biểu đồ để xem tỷ lệ đã thay đổi thế nào. Đây là cửa sổ miễn phí, thời gian thực vào điều thị trường kỳ vọng sẽ xảy ra.
Tỷ lệ Polymarket được đặt bởi trader thực đặt tiền thực đằng sau niềm tin, có xu hướng đưa ra dự đoán chính xác. Với $3 million được giao dịch trên "Diễn viên James Bond tiếp theo?," giá này tổng hợp kiến thức và niềm tin tập thể của hàng nghìn người tham gia — thường vượt trội hơn thăm dò, dự báo chuyên gia và khảo sát truyền thống. Thị trường dự đoán như Polymarket có thành tích chính xác mạnh, đặc biệt khi sự kiện tiến gần ngày giải quyết. Ví dụ, Polymarket có điểm chính xác một tháng là 94%. Để biết thống kê mới nhất về độ chính xác dự đoán của Polymarket, truy cập trang độ chính xác trên Polymarket.
Để đặt lệnh đầu tiên trên "Diễn viên James Bond tiếp theo?," đăng ký tài khoản Polymarket miễn phí và nạp tiền bằng crypto, thẻ tín dụng hoặc ghi nợ, hoặc chuyển khoản ngân hàng. Khi tài khoản đã được nạp, quay lại trang này, chọn kết quả bạn muốn giao dịch, nhập số tiền và nhấn "Giao dịch." Nếu bạn mới với thị trường dự đoán, nhấn liên kết "Cách hoạt động" ở đầu bất kỳ trang Polymarket nào để xem hướng dẫn từng bước nhanh về cách giao dịch.
Trên Polymarket, giá của mỗi kết quả đại diện cho xác suất ngụ ý của thị trường. Giá 89¢ cho "Chưa chọn Bond" trong thị trường "Diễn viên James Bond tiếp theo?" nghĩa là trader tập thể tin rằng có khoảng 89% khả năng "Chưa chọn Bond" sẽ là kết quả đúng. Nếu bạn mua cổ phần "Có" ở 89¢ và kết quả đúng, bạn nhận $1.00 mỗi cổ phần — lợi nhuận 11¢ mỗi cổ phần. Nếu sai, cổ phần đó giá trị $0.
Thị trường "Diễn viên James Bond tiếp theo?" dự kiến giải quyết vào hoặc khoảng Jun 30, 2026. Điều này có nghĩa giao dịch vẫn mở và tỷ lệ tiếp tục thay đổi khi thông tin mới xuất hiện cho đến ngày đó. Thời gian giải quyết chính xác phụ thuộc vào khi kết quả chính thức có sẵn, như được nêu trong phần "Quy tắc" trên trang này.
Thị trường "Diễn viên James Bond tiếp theo?" có cộng đồng sôi động với 28 bình luận nơi trader chia sẻ phân tích, tranh luận kết quả và thảo luận diễn biến mới nhất. Cuộn xuống phần bình luận bên dưới để đọc ý kiến từ người tham gia khác. Bạn cũng có thể lọc theo "Người nắm giữ hàng đầu" để xem trader lớn nhất đang đặt cược vào đâu, hoặc kiểm tra tab "Hoạt động" cho dữ liệu giao dịch theo thời gian thực.
Polymarket là thị trường dự đoán lớn nhất thế giới, nơi bạn có thể cập nhật thông tin và kiếm lợi nhuận từ kiến thức về sự kiện thực tế. Trader mua và bán cổ phần trên kết quả cho các chủ đề từ chính trị và bầu cử đến crypto, tài chính, thể thao, công nghệ và văn hoá, bao gồm các thị trường như "Diễn viên James Bond tiếp theo?." Giá phản ánh xác suất cộng đồng theo thời gian thực được hỗ trợ bởi niềm tin tài chính, thường cung cấp tín hiệu nhanh và chính xác hơn thăm dò, bình luận viên hoặc khảo sát truyền thống.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp