Amazon MGM Studios' head of film urged patience at CinemaCon on April 16, confirming no James Bond actor has been chosen for Bond 26, fueling trader consensus at 67.5% implied probability for "No Bond chosen" amid ongoing script development by Steven Knight and potential directing by Denis Villeneuve post-Dune: Part Three. This recent studio update quashed short-term casting rumors, emphasizing the franchise's high stakes after Daniel Craig's exit. Callum Turner leads alternatives at 10.6% on persistent industry buzz from his Berlinale 2026 comments and rising profile in Masters of the Air, though unverified reports keep odds speculative. Jacob Elordi and others trail amid competitive field; watch for mid-2026 casting signals as production eyes 2027 start.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtDiễn viên James Bond tiếp theo?
Diễn viên James Bond tiếp theo?
Chưa chọn Bond 68%
Callum Turner 10.6%
Jacob Elordi 3.1%
Henry Cavill 1.7%
$2,017,696 KL.
$2,017,696 KL.

Chưa chọn Bond
68%

Callum Turner
11%

Jacob Elordi
3%

Henry Cavill
2%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson
1%

James Norton
1%

Harris Dickinson
1%

Paul Mescal
<1%

Jack Lowdon
<1%

Theo James
<1%

Tom Hardy
<1%

Tom Holland
<1%

Pierce Brosnan
<1%

Josh O'Connor
<1%

Robert James-Collier
<1%
Chưa chọn Bond 68%
Callum Turner 10.6%
Jacob Elordi 3.1%
Henry Cavill 1.7%
$2,017,696 KL.
$2,017,696 KL.

Chưa chọn Bond
68%

Callum Turner
11%

Jacob Elordi
3%

Henry Cavill
2%

Aaron Taylor-Johnson
1%

James Norton
1%

Harris Dickinson
1%

Paul Mescal
<1%

Jack Lowdon
<1%

Theo James
<1%

Tom Hardy
<1%

Tom Holland
<1%

Pierce Brosnan
<1%

Josh O'Connor
<1%

Robert James-Collier
<1%
This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Aug 4, 2025, 6:46 PM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve based on the first official announcement of who will be the next James Bond, regardless of any changes made thereafter.
If no actor is announced as the next Bond within the timeframe, this market will resolve to "No Bond chosen".
The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from Amazon MGM Studios. However, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Amazon MGM Studios' head of film urged patience at CinemaCon on April 16, confirming no James Bond actor has been chosen for Bond 26, fueling trader consensus at 67.5% implied probability for "No Bond chosen" amid ongoing script development by Steven Knight and potential directing by Denis Villeneuve post-Dune: Part Three. This recent studio update quashed short-term casting rumors, emphasizing the franchise's high stakes after Daniel Craig's exit. Callum Turner leads alternatives at 10.6% on persistent industry buzz from his Berlinale 2026 comments and rising profile in Masters of the Air, though unverified reports keep odds speculative. Jacob Elordi and others trail amid competitive field; watch for mid-2026 casting signals as production eyes 2027 start.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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