Pete Ricketts, the Republican incumbent and former governor with Donald Trump's endorsement, leads trader consensus at 69.5% implied probability in Nebraska's deep-red U.S. Senate race, bolstered by superior fundraising exceeding $4.6 million and a clear path through the May 12 Republican primary. Independent Dan Osborn's 26.5% reflects his near-upset of Deb Fischer in 2024 and recent polls showing statistical ties, such as Impact Research's February survey (Ricketts 48%, Osborn 47%), further highlighted by Inside Elections' April 23 downgrade from Solid to Likely Republican. Democrats trail at 3.9% amid a contentious primary featuring controversial pastor William Forbes, accused of being a Republican plant, with the state party endorsing Osborn instead.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtNebraska Senate Election Winner
Nebraska Senate Election Winner
Republican 70%
Independent 27%
Democrat 3.9%
$106,867 KL.
$106,867 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
70%
Independent
27%
Democrat
4%
Republican 70%
Independent 27%
Democrat 3.9%
$106,867 KL.
$106,867 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican
$45,764 KL.
70%
Independent
$371 KL.
27%
Democrat
$60,732 KL.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Pete Ricketts, the Republican incumbent and former governor with Donald Trump's endorsement, leads trader consensus at 69.5% implied probability in Nebraska's deep-red U.S. Senate race, bolstered by superior fundraising exceeding $4.6 million and a clear path through the May 12 Republican primary. Independent Dan Osborn's 26.5% reflects his near-upset of Deb Fischer in 2024 and recent polls showing statistical ties, such as Impact Research's February survey (Ricketts 48%, Osborn 47%), further highlighted by Inside Elections' April 23 downgrade from Solid to Likely Republican. Democrats trail at 3.9% amid a contentious primary featuring controversial pastor William Forbes, accused of being a Republican plant, with the state party endorsing Osborn instead.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ET
Khối lượng
$106,867Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Pete Ricketts, the Republican incumbent and former governor with Donald Trump's endorsement, leads trader consensus at 69.5% implied probability in Nebraska's deep-red U.S. Senate race, bolstered by superior fundraising exceeding $4.6 million and a clear path through the May 12 Republican primary. Independent Dan Osborn's 26.5% reflects his near-upset of Deb Fischer in 2024 and recent polls showing statistical ties, such as Impact Research's February survey (Ricketts 48%, Osborn 47%), further highlighted by Inside Elections' April 23 downgrade from Solid to Likely Republican. Democrats trail at 3.9% amid a contentious primary featuring controversial pastor William Forbes, accused of being a Republican plant, with the state party endorsing Osborn instead.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Nebraska U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$106,867Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 4:48 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Pete Ricketts, the Republican incumbent and former governor with Donald Trump's endorsement, leads trader consensus at 69.5% implied probability in Nebraska's deep-red U.S. Senate race, bolstered by superior fundraising exceeding $4.6 million and a clear path through the May 12 Republican primary. Independent Dan Osborn's 26.5% reflects his near-upset of Deb Fischer in 2024 and recent polls showing statistical ties, such as Impact Research's February survey (Ricketts 48%, Osborn 47%), further highlighted by Inside Elections' April 23 downgrade from Solid to Likely Republican. Democrats trail at 3.9% amid a contentious primary featuring controversial pastor William Forbes, accused of being a Republican plant, with the state party endorsing Osborn instead.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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