Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf has held the speakership of Iran's Islamic Consultative Assembly since 2020 and secured re-election to the post for another year in a May 2026 internal leadership vote, defeating challengers by a wide margin of 235 to 36. The annual election process among sitting lawmakers determines the presiding officer, with the position also placing the speaker on key bodies such as the Supreme National Security Council. Recent regional tensions have kept Ghalibaf in a visible role as a negotiator and public spokesman, including statements on military outcomes and diplomatic pauses, which could influence internal parliamentary dynamics ahead of the next scheduled leadership ballot. Structural factors such as factional alignments within the conservative majority and any shifts in Supreme Leader guidance remain central variables for potential changes in the post.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$47,985 KL.
Sep 30, 2026
September 30
5%
December 31
20%
$47,985 KL.
September 30
$6,780 KL.
5%
December 31
$17,618 KL.
20%
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf has held the speakership of Iran's Islamic Consultative Assembly since 2020 and secured re-election to the post for another year in a May 2026 internal leadership vote, defeating challengers by a wide margin of 235 to 36. The annual election process among sitting lawmakers determines the presiding officer, with the position also placing the speaker on key bodies such as the Supreme National Security Council. Recent regional tensions have kept Ghalibaf in a visible role as a negotiator and public spokesman, including statements on military outcomes and diplomatic pauses, which could influence internal parliamentary dynamics ahead of the next scheduled leadership ballot. Structural factors such as factional alignments within the conservative majority and any shifts in Supreme Leader guidance remain central variables for potential changes in the post.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Thị trường mở: Jul 9, 2026, 9:36 PM ET
Khối lượng
$47,985Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 9, 2026, 9:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf has held the speakership of Iran's Islamic Consultative Assembly since 2020 and secured re-election to the post for another year in a May 2026 internal leadership vote, defeating challengers by a wide margin of 235 to 36. The annual election process among sitting lawmakers determines the presiding officer, with the position also placing the speaker on key bodies such as the Supreme National Security Council. Recent regional tensions have kept Ghalibaf in a visible role as a negotiator and public spokesman, including statements on military outcomes and diplomatic pauses, which could influence internal parliamentary dynamics ahead of the next scheduled leadership ballot. Structural factors such as factional alignments within the conservative majority and any shifts in Supreme Leader guidance remain central variables for potential changes in the post.
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Mohammed Ghalibaf ceases to be the Speaker of the Parliament of Iran for any period of time between market creation and the specified date (ET). Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
An announcement of Mohammed Ghalibaf's resignation/removal before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/removal goes into effect.
If the specified individual is detained, effectively removed from the specified position, or otherwise permanently prevented from fulfilling the duties of the specified position within this market’s timeframe, it will qualify for a “Yes” resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be official information from Mohammed Ghalibaf and the government of Iran; however, a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.
Khối lượng
$47,985Ngày kết thúc
Dec 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 9, 2026, 9:36 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Mohammad Bagher Ghalibaf has held the speakership of Iran's Islamic Consultative Assembly since 2020 and secured re-election to the post for another year in a May 2026 internal leadership vote, defeating challengers by a wide margin of 235 to 36. The annual election process among sitting lawmakers determines the presiding officer, with the position also placing the speaker on key bodies such as the Supreme National Security Council. Recent regional tensions have kept Ghalibaf in a visible role as a negotiator and public spokesman, including statements on military outcomes and diplomatic pauses, which could influence internal parliamentary dynamics ahead of the next scheduled leadership ballot. Structural factors such as factional alignments within the conservative majority and any shifts in Supreme Leader guidance remain central variables for potential changes in the post.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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