Missouri’s 1st congressional district encompasses St. Louis and surrounding areas with a partisan voting index of roughly D+29, producing consistent Democratic margins above 70 percent in recent cycles. Incumbent Wesley Bell holds the seat after defeating former representative Cori Bush in the 2024 Democratic primary and faces a rematch plus other challengers in the August 4 primary ahead of the November 3 general election. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic, reflecting the district’s urban voter base and historical turnout patterns. No recent polling or events have altered the general-election outlook, leaving the Democratic nominee with overwhelming trader consensus. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in registration or turnout not observed in the past decade.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMO-01 House Election Winner
$23,821 KL.
$23,821 KL.
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
4%
$23,821 KL.
$23,821 KL.
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
4%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:10 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Missouri’s 1st congressional district encompasses St. Louis and surrounding areas with a partisan voting index of roughly D+29, producing consistent Democratic margins above 70 percent in recent cycles. Incumbent Wesley Bell holds the seat after defeating former representative Cori Bush in the 2024 Democratic primary and faces a rematch plus other challengers in the August 4 primary ahead of the November 3 general election. Cook Political Report rates the race Solid Democratic, reflecting the district’s urban voter base and historical turnout patterns. No recent polling or events have altered the general-election outlook, leaving the Democratic nominee with overwhelming trader consensus. A Republican victory would require an unprecedented shift in registration or turnout not observed in the past decade.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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