Maryland’s 8th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat, reflected in the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Representative Jamie Raskin, who has held the office since 2017, faces a Democratic primary on June 23 but little general-election opposition in a district with a strong partisan voting index advantage. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with historical margins exceeding 30 points. Limited Republican fundraising and candidate recruitment further reinforce the positioning. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as the incumbent’s withdrawal, a major scandal, or an unusually strong national Republican wave that overcomes the district’s structural lean.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMD-08 House Election Winner
MD-08 House Election Winner
$14,576 KL.
$14,576 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
94%
Republican Party
7%
$14,576 KL.
$14,576 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democratic Party
$6,416 KL.
94%
Republican Party
$8,159 KL.
7%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 8th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat, reflected in the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Representative Jamie Raskin, who has held the office since 2017, faces a Democratic primary on June 23 but little general-election opposition in a district with a strong partisan voting index advantage. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with historical margins exceeding 30 points. Limited Republican fundraising and candidate recruitment further reinforce the positioning. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as the incumbent’s withdrawal, a major scandal, or an unusually strong national Republican wave that overcomes the district’s structural lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Khối lượng
$14,576Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Maryland’s 8th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat, reflected in the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Representative Jamie Raskin, who has held the office since 2017, faces a Democratic primary on June 23 but little general-election opposition in a district with a strong partisan voting index advantage. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with historical margins exceeding 30 points. Limited Republican fundraising and candidate recruitment further reinforce the positioning. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as the incumbent’s withdrawal, a major scandal, or an unusually strong national Republican wave that overcomes the district’s structural lean.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the MD-08 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$14,576Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Maryland’s 8th congressional district remains a reliably Democratic seat, reflected in the current trader consensus favoring the Democratic nominee at 93.5 percent. Incumbent Representative Jamie Raskin, who has held the office since 2017, faces a Democratic primary on June 23 but little general-election opposition in a district with a strong partisan voting index advantage. Cook Political Report, Inside Elections, and Sabato’s Crystal Ball all rate the contest Solid or Safe Democratic, consistent with historical margins exceeding 30 points. Limited Republican fundraising and candidate recruitment further reinforce the positioning. A realistic shift would require an unforeseen development such as the incumbent’s withdrawal, a major scandal, or an unusually strong national Republican wave that overcomes the district’s structural lean.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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