Massachusetts's deep Democratic partisan lean and unbroken streak of Democratic Senate victories since 2010 anchor the heavy market preference for a Democratic nominee. Incumbent Ed Markey holds a consistent lead in recent Democratic primary polling against challenger Seth Moulton, while Republican primary candidates remain low-profile and face structural headwinds in a state where registered Democrats outnumber Republicans by wide margins. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic based on historical turnout patterns and limited crossover appeal. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the absence of major scandals, health developments, or national shifts that could narrow the gap before the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMassachusetts Senate Election Winner
Massachusetts Senate Election Winner
$12,987 KL.
$12,987 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
95%
Republican
4%
$12,987 KL.
$12,987 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$8,383 KL.
95%
Republican
$4,603 KL.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts's deep Democratic partisan lean and unbroken streak of Democratic Senate victories since 2010 anchor the heavy market preference for a Democratic nominee. Incumbent Ed Markey holds a consistent lead in recent Democratic primary polling against challenger Seth Moulton, while Republican primary candidates remain low-profile and face structural headwinds in a state where registered Democrats outnumber Republicans by wide margins. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic based on historical turnout patterns and limited crossover appeal. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the absence of major scandals, health developments, or national shifts that could narrow the gap before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ET
Khối lượng
$12,987Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Massachusetts's deep Democratic partisan lean and unbroken streak of Democratic Senate victories since 2010 anchor the heavy market preference for a Democratic nominee. Incumbent Ed Markey holds a consistent lead in recent Democratic primary polling against challenger Seth Moulton, while Republican primary candidates remain low-profile and face structural headwinds in a state where registered Democrats outnumber Republicans by wide margins. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic based on historical turnout patterns and limited crossover appeal. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the absence of major scandals, health developments, or national shifts that could narrow the gap before the November general election.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Massachusetts U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$12,987Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:07 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Massachusetts's deep Democratic partisan lean and unbroken streak of Democratic Senate victories since 2010 anchor the heavy market preference for a Democratic nominee. Incumbent Ed Markey holds a consistent lead in recent Democratic primary polling against challenger Seth Moulton, while Republican primary candidates remain low-profile and face structural headwinds in a state where registered Democrats outnumber Republicans by wide margins. Forecasters rate the seat solid or safe Democratic based on historical turnout patterns and limited crossover appeal. Trader consensus at these levels reflects the absence of major scandals, health developments, or national shifts that could narrow the gap before the November general election.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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