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icon for Marseille Mayoral Election Winner

Marseille Mayoral Election Winner

icon for Marseille Mayoral Election Winner

Marseille Mayoral Election Winner

Benoît Payan 100.0%

Erwann Davoux <1%

Franck Allisio <1%

Sébastien Delogu <1%

Polymarket

$281,124 KL.

Benoît Payan 100.0%

Erwann Davoux <1%

Franck Allisio <1%

Sébastien Delogu <1%

Polymarket

$281,124 KL.

icon for Benoît Payan

Benoît Payan

$208,644 KL.

Yes

icon for Erwann Davoux

Erwann Davoux

$72,481 KL.

No

icon for Franck Allisio

Franck Allisio

$0 KL.

No

icon for Sébastien Delogu

Sébastien Delogu

$0 KL.

No

icon for Martine Vassal

Martine Vassal

$0 KL.

No

The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Benoît Payan secured re-election as Marseille mayor in the March 22, 2026, second-round municipal vote, capturing around 54% against Rassemblement National challenger Franck Allisio's 39% and Les Républicains' Martine Vassal in a three-way race, reflecting strong left-wing union support excluding La France Insoumise. His first-round lead of 37% set up the favorable runoff, bolstered by incumbency advantages and voter mobilization against far-right gains seen nationally. Official confirmation came March 28 via council installation with 73 votes, driving trader consensus to 100% certainty. Legal challenges or recounts remain theoretical risks but face high barriers given the margin and procedural finality.

The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Khối lượng
$281,124
Ngày kết thúc
Mar 22, 2026
Thị trường mở
Jan 16, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Kết quả đề xuất: Yes

Đã tranh chấp

Kết quả đề xuất: Yes

Đã tranh chấp

Kết quả cuối cùng: Yes

The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).Benoît Payan secured re-election as Marseille mayor in the March 22, 2026, second-round municipal vote, capturing around 54% against Rassemblement National challenger Franck Allisio's 39% and Les Républicains' Martine Vassal in a three-way race, reflecting strong left-wing union support excluding La France Insoumise. His first-round lead of 37% set up the favorable runoff, bolstered by incumbency advantages and voter mobilization against far-right gains seen nationally. Official confirmation came March 28 via council installation with 73 votes, driving trader consensus to 100% certainty. Legal challenges or recounts remain theoretical risks but face high barriers given the margin and procedural finality.

The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026.

This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille.

Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered.

This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other".

This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).
Khối lượng
$281,124
Ngày kết thúc
Mar 22, 2026
Thị trường mở
Jan 16, 2026, 3:09 PM ET
The Marseille mayoral election is scheduled to take place in France on March 15, 2026, with a potential runoff on March 22, 2026. This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the 2026 Marseille mayoral election to become the next elected Mayor of Marseille. Temporary, interim, or placeholder mayors appointed before the election will not be considered. This market includes any potential second round. If the result of this election isn't known by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, the market will resolve to "Other". This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the French Government, specifically the Ministry of the Interior (https://www.interieur.gouv.fr/).

Kết quả đề xuất: Yes

Đã tranh chấp

Kết quả đề xuất: Yes

Đã tranh chấp

Kết quả cuối cùng: Yes

Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.

Câu hỏi thường gặp

"Marseille Mayoral Election Winner" là thị trường dự đoán trên Polymarket với 5 kết quả có thể nơi các nhà giao dịch mua và bán cổ phần dựa trên điều họ tin sẽ xảy ra. Kết quả dẫn đầu hiện tại là "Benoît Payan" ở mức 100%, tiếp theo là "Erwann Davoux" ở mức 0%. Giá phản ánh xác suất cộng đồng theo thời gian thực. Ví dụ, cổ phần ở giá 100¢ ngụ ý thị trường tập thể cho rằng có 100% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Tỷ lệ này thay đổi liên tục khi trader phản ứng với diễn biến và thông tin mới. Cổ phần đúng kết quả có thể đổi lấy $1 mỗi cổ phần khi thị trường được giải quyết.

Tính đến hôm nay, "Marseille Mayoral Election Winner" đã tạo $281.1K tổng khối lượng giao dịch kể từ khi thị trường mở vào Jan 16, 2026. Mức hoạt động giao dịch này phản ánh sự tham gia mạnh mẽ từ cộng đồng Polymarket và giúp đảm bảo tỷ lệ hiện tại được thông tin bởi nhóm người tham gia thị trường sâu rộng. Bạn có thể theo dõi biến động giá trực tiếp và giao dịch trên bất kỳ kết quả nào ngay trên trang này.

Để giao dịch trên "Marseille Mayoral Election Winner," duyệt 5 kết quả có sẵn trên trang này. Mỗi kết quả hiển thị giá hiện tại đại diện cho xác suất ngụ ý của thị trường. Để mở vị thế, chọn kết quả bạn tin là có khả năng nhất, chọn "Có" để giao dịch ủng hộ hoặc "Không" để giao dịch chống, nhập số tiền và nhấn "Giao dịch." Nếu kết quả bạn chọn đúng khi thị trường giải quyết, cổ phần "Có" của bạn trả $1 mỗi cổ phần. Nếu sai, chúng trả $0. Bạn cũng có thể bán cổ phần bất cứ lúc nào trước khi giải quyết nếu muốn chốt lời hoặc cắt lỗ.

Ứng viên dẫn đầu hiện tại cho "Marseille Mayoral Election Winner" là "Benoît Payan" ở mức 100%, nghĩa là thị trường cho 100% khả năng cho kết quả đó. Kết quả gần nhất tiếp theo là "Erwann Davoux" ở mức 0%. Tỷ lệ cập nhật theo thời gian thực khi trader mua và bán cổ phần, phản ánh cái nhìn tập thể mới nhất về điều có khả năng xảy ra nhất. Kiểm tra thường xuyên hoặc đánh dấu trang này để theo dõi tỷ lệ thay đổi khi thông tin mới xuất hiện.

Quy tắc giải quyết cho "Marseille Mayoral Election Winner" định nghĩa chính xác điều gì cần xảy ra để mỗi kết quả được tuyên bố thắng — bao gồm nguồn dữ liệu chính thức được sử dụng để xác định kết quả. Bạn có thể xem tiêu chí giải quyết đầy đủ trong phần "Quy tắc" trên trang này phía trên bình luận. Chúng tôi khuyên đọc kỹ quy tắc trước khi giao dịch, vì chúng chỉ rõ điều kiện, trường hợp ngoại lệ và nguồn chính xác quản lý cách thị trường được thanh toán.