The Malta general election scheduled for 30 May 2026 follows a snap call by Prime Minister Robert Abela amid geopolitical uncertainty. Trader consensus favors turnout below 85 percent at 58 percent probability, reflecting the 2022 result of 85.6 percent and recent surveys that show elevated numbers of undecided voters alongside rising abstention trends. Early-voting participation among registered overseas and special-category voters reached over 90 percent in mid-May updates, yet overall mobilization by the two main parties has not reversed the longer-term decline from previous cycles above 90 percent. The final week of campaigning remains the key variable that could shift participation before polls close on election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật<85% 58%
85-90% 42%
90-95% 6.7%
95%+ 2.0%
$27,058 KL.
$27,058 KL.
<85%
58%
85-90%
35%
90-95%
7%
95%+
2%
<85% 58%
85-90% 42%
90-95% 6.7%
95%+ 2.0%
$27,058 KL.
$27,058 KL.
<85%
58%
85-90%
35%
90-95%
7%
95%+
2%
This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Maltese general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Government of Malta, including the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/)
Thị trường mở: May 1, 2026, 5:57 PM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve according to the official voter turnout rate for the 2026 Maltese general election, defined as the total number of votes cast divided by the total number of registered voters.
If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, this market will resolve to the higher bracket.
If the results of this election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
This market will resolve based on the official results as reported by the Government of Malta, including the Electoral Commission of Malta (https://electoral.gov.mt/)
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...The Malta general election scheduled for 30 May 2026 follows a snap call by Prime Minister Robert Abela amid geopolitical uncertainty. Trader consensus favors turnout below 85 percent at 58 percent probability, reflecting the 2022 result of 85.6 percent and recent surveys that show elevated numbers of undecided voters alongside rising abstention trends. Early-voting participation among registered overseas and special-category voters reached over 90 percent in mid-May updates, yet overall mobilization by the two main parties has not reversed the longer-term decline from previous cycles above 90 percent. The final week of campaigning remains the key variable that could shift participation before polls close on election day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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