Dan Koh's dominant 79.5% implied probability in the MA-06 Democratic primary reflects his commanding fundraising lead—over $1 million raised in a single week last fall and topping ActBlue totals—and recent high-profile endorsements, including former President Biden's on May 4 and Swampscott Select Board Chair Katie Phelan's this week. Incumbent Rep. Seth Moulton vacated the open seat for a U.S. Senate primary challenge against Ed Markey, drawing a crowded field where Koh leads the only credible poll with substantial support. Challengers like Tram Nguyen trail amid weaker resources, with traders betting on Koh's momentum ahead of the September 1 primary amid ongoing forums and local Democratic town committee events.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtMA-06 Democratic Primary Winner
MA-06 Democratic Primary Winner
Dan Koh 80%
Tram Nguyen 3.3%
Rachel Creemers 2.7%
John Beccia 2.5%
$36,919 KL.
$36,919 KL.
Sep 15, 2026
Dan Koh
80%
Tram Nguyen
3%
Rachel Creemers
3%
John Beccia
2%
Jamie Zahlaway Belsito
2%
Diann Slavit Baylis
2%
Kevin Larivee
2%
Mariah Lancaster
1%
Rick Jakious
1%
Seth Moulton
1%
Beth Andres-Beck
<1%
Dominick Pangallo
<1%
Dan Koh 80%
Tram Nguyen 3.3%
Rachel Creemers 2.7%
John Beccia 2.5%
$36,919 KL.
$36,919 KL.
Sep 15, 2026
Dan Koh
$4,562 KL.
80%
Tram Nguyen
$4,427 KL.
3%
Rachel Creemers
$2,182 KL.
3%
John Beccia
$1,766 KL.
2%
Jamie Zahlaway Belsito
$2,276 KL.
2%
Diann Slavit Baylis
$5,158 KL.
2%
Kevin Larivee
$1,519 KL.
2%
Mariah Lancaster
$1,896 KL.
1%
Rick Jakious
$3,479 KL.
1%
Seth Moulton
$1,876 KL.
1%
Beth Andres-Beck
$1,592 KL.
<1%
Dominick Pangallo
$6,189 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Dan Koh's dominant 79.5% implied probability in the MA-06 Democratic primary reflects his commanding fundraising lead—over $1 million raised in a single week last fall and topping ActBlue totals—and recent high-profile endorsements, including former President Biden's on May 4 and Swampscott Select Board Chair Katie Phelan's this week. Incumbent Rep. Seth Moulton vacated the open seat for a U.S. Senate primary challenge against Ed Markey, drawing a crowded field where Koh leads the only credible poll with substantial support. Challengers like Tram Nguyen trail amid weaker resources, with traders betting on Koh's momentum ahead of the September 1 primary amid ongoing forums and local Democratic town committee events.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Thị trường mở: Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ET
Khối lượng
$36,919Ngày kết thúc
Sep 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.Dan Koh's dominant 79.5% implied probability in the MA-06 Democratic primary reflects his commanding fundraising lead—over $1 million raised in a single week last fall and topping ActBlue totals—and recent high-profile endorsements, including former President Biden's on May 4 and Swampscott Select Board Chair Katie Phelan's this week. Incumbent Rep. Seth Moulton vacated the open seat for a U.S. Senate primary challenge against Ed Markey, drawing a crowded field where Koh leads the only credible poll with substantial support. Challengers like Tram Nguyen trail amid weaker resources, with traders betting on Koh's momentum ahead of the September 1 primary amid ongoing forums and local Democratic town committee events.
This market will resolve according to the candidate who wins the nomination for the Democratic Party to contest the MA-06 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The Democratic primary will take place on September 15, 2026.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
If no nominee is announced by November 3, 2026, 11:59PM ET, this market will resolve to "Other".
The resolution source for this market will be a consensus of official Democrat sources, including https://democrats.org/.
Any replacement of the nominee before election day will not change the resolution of the market.
Khối lượng
$36,919Ngày kết thúc
Sep 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Nov 25, 2025, 3:39 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Dan Koh's dominant 79.5% implied probability in the MA-06 Democratic primary reflects his commanding fundraising lead—over $1 million raised in a single week last fall and topping ActBlue totals—and recent high-profile endorsements, including former President Biden's on May 4 and Swampscott Select Board Chair Katie Phelan's this week. Incumbent Rep. Seth Moulton vacated the open seat for a U.S. Senate primary challenge against Ed Markey, drawing a crowded field where Koh leads the only credible poll with substantial support. Challengers like Tram Nguyen trail amid weaker resources, with traders betting on Koh's momentum ahead of the September 1 primary amid ongoing forums and local Democratic town committee events.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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