Recent meteorological observations and ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on June 15 will reach 22°C, driven by stable subtropical high-pressure influence, moderate easterly flow, and typical East Asian monsoon transition patterns that suppress stronger cooling. Mid-June climatology shows average lows of 21–23°C, with current surface observations and short-range guidance aligning tightly around this value. Trader consensus at 100% reflects this narrow uncertainty range and proximity to resolution. An unanticipated cold surge or localized heavy precipitation could still shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C at official stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Shanghai on June 15?
22°C 100¢
17°C or below 0¢
18°C 0¢
19°C 0¢
$42,668 KL.
$42,668 KL.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
22°C 100¢
17°C or below 0¢
18°C 0¢
19°C 0¢
$42,668 KL.
$42,668 KL.
17°C or below
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C
No
22°C
Yes
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 13, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Shanghai Pudong International Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPD.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/cn/shanghai/ZSPDResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Recent meteorological observations and ensemble forecasts from the China Meteorological Administration and global models indicate Shanghai's overnight minimum on June 15 will reach 22°C, driven by stable subtropical high-pressure influence, moderate easterly flow, and typical East Asian monsoon transition patterns that suppress stronger cooling. Mid-June climatology shows average lows of 21–23°C, with current surface observations and short-range guidance aligning tightly around this value. Trader consensus at 100% reflects this narrow uncertainty range and proximity to resolution. An unanticipated cold surge or localized heavy precipitation could still shift the recorded minimum by 1–2°C at official stations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật


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