Current forecasts from major meteorological models, including those from Météo-France and international ensembles, converge on a minimum nighttime temperature of 14°C for Paris on June 15, 2026, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and typical mid-June radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies. This aligns with climatological baselines for the period, where overnight lows commonly range 12–15°C absent anomalous advection. The near-certain market pricing reflects strong model agreement and minimal expected variability in surface observations at official stations. Unlikely shifts could arise from an unforecasted cold-air intrusion or measurement discrepancies at the reference site, though such outcomes remain improbable given the late timing and current synoptic setup.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on June 15?
Lowest temperature in Paris on June 15?
14°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$22,237 KL.
$22,237 KL.
Jun 15, 2026
10°C or below
No
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
Yes
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
No
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C or higher
No
14°C 100.0%
10°C or below <1%
11°C <1%
12°C <1%
$22,237 KL.
$22,237 KL.
Jun 15, 2026
10°C or below
$566 KL.
No
11°C
$3,340 KL.
No
12°C
$2,701 KL.
No
13°C
$2,565 KL.
No
14°C
$3,190 KL.
Yes
15°C
$1,572 KL.
No
16°C
$1,931 KL.
No
17°C
$1,314 KL.
No
18°C
$1,394 KL.
No
19°C
$985 KL.
No
20°C or higher
$2,681 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from major meteorological models, including those from Météo-France and international ensembles, converge on a minimum nighttime temperature of 14°C for Paris on June 15, 2026, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and typical mid-June radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies. This aligns with climatological baselines for the period, where overnight lows commonly range 12–15°C absent anomalous advection. The near-certain market pricing reflects strong model agreement and minimal expected variability in surface observations at official stations. Unlikely shifts could arise from an unforecasted cold-air intrusion or measurement discrepancies at the reference site, though such outcomes remain improbable given the late timing and current synoptic setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ET
Khối lượng
$22,237Ngày kết thúc
Jun 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Current forecasts from major meteorological models, including those from Météo-France and international ensembles, converge on a minimum nighttime temperature of 14°C for Paris on June 15, 2026, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and typical mid-June radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies. This aligns with climatological baselines for the period, where overnight lows commonly range 12–15°C absent anomalous advection. The near-certain market pricing reflects strong model agreement and minimal expected variability in surface observations at official stations. Unlikely shifts could arise from an unforecasted cold-air intrusion or measurement discrepancies at the reference site, though such outcomes remain improbable given the late timing and current synoptic setup.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$22,237Ngày kết thúc
Jun 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 13, 2026, 12:34 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Current forecasts from major meteorological models, including those from Météo-France and international ensembles, converge on a minimum nighttime temperature of 14°C for Paris on June 15, 2026, driven by stable high-pressure conditions and typical mid-June radiative cooling under clear to partly cloudy skies. This aligns with climatological baselines for the period, where overnight lows commonly range 12–15°C absent anomalous advection. The near-certain market pricing reflects strong model agreement and minimal expected variability in surface observations at official stations. Unlikely shifts could arise from an unforecasted cold-air intrusion or measurement discrepancies at the reference site, though such outcomes remain improbable given the late timing and current synoptic setup.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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