Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies such as Météo-France indicate stable high-pressure conditions over northern France, producing a minimum temperature of 20°C in Paris on August 16 as the most probable outcome. This aligns with the current warm air mass following earlier heat, with limited nocturnal cooling due to cloud cover and light winds that suppress radiative heat loss. Historical August baselines for the region show typical lows of 15–18°C, yet the present setup supports a higher floor, consistent with trader consensus reflected in the near-certain market odds. Uncertainties remain around precise microclimate variations or unexpected frontal passages that could alter the recorded minimum by a degree or two before final verification.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Paris on August 16?
Lowest temperature in Paris on August 16?
20°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
21°C <1%
$19,888 KL.
$19,888 KL.
Aug 16, 2026
18°C or below
No
19°C
No
20°C
Yes
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C or higher
No
20°C 100.0%
18°C or below <1%
19°C <1%
21°C <1%
$19,888 KL.
$19,888 KL.
Aug 16, 2026
18°C or below
$3,243 KL.
No
19°C
$3,309 KL.
No
20°C
$2,270 KL.
Yes
21°C
$1,229 KL.
No
22°C
$1,612 KL.
No
23°C
$2,987 KL.
No
24°C
$3,902 KL.
No
25°C
$233 KL.
No
26°C
$233 KL.
No
27°C
$638 KL.
No
28°C or higher
$233 KL.
No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies such as Météo-France indicate stable high-pressure conditions over northern France, producing a minimum temperature of 20°C in Paris on August 16 as the most probable outcome. This aligns with the current warm air mass following earlier heat, with limited nocturnal cooling due to cloud cover and light winds that suppress radiative heat loss. Historical August baselines for the region show typical lows of 15–18°C, yet the present setup supports a higher floor, consistent with trader consensus reflected in the near-certain market odds. Uncertainties remain around precise microclimate variations or unexpected frontal passages that could alter the recorded minimum by a degree or two before final verification.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ET
Khối lượng
$19,888Ngày kết thúc
Aug 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies such as Météo-France indicate stable high-pressure conditions over northern France, producing a minimum temperature of 20°C in Paris on August 16 as the most probable outcome. This aligns with the current warm air mass following earlier heat, with limited nocturnal cooling due to cloud cover and light winds that suppress radiative heat loss. Historical August baselines for the region show typical lows of 15–18°C, yet the present setup supports a higher floor, consistent with trader consensus reflected in the near-certain market odds. Uncertainties remain around precise microclimate variations or unexpected frontal passages that could alter the recorded minimum by a degree or two before final verification.
This market will resolve based on the lowest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded at the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 16 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the lowest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Paris-Le Bourget Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/fr/bonneuil-en-france/LFPB.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$19,888Ngày kết thúc
Aug 16, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 1:28 AM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Recent meteorological observations and forecast models from agencies such as Météo-France indicate stable high-pressure conditions over northern France, producing a minimum temperature of 20°C in Paris on August 16 as the most probable outcome. This aligns with the current warm air mass following earlier heat, with limited nocturnal cooling due to cloud cover and light winds that suppress radiative heat loss. Historical August baselines for the region show typical lows of 15–18°C, yet the present setup supports a higher floor, consistent with trader consensus reflected in the near-certain market odds. Uncertainties remain around precise microclimate variations or unexpected frontal passages that could alter the recorded minimum by a degree or two before final verification.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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