The Hong Kong Observatory's official minimum temperature reading of exactly 27°C on June 5, 2026, drove the near-certain market consensus. A persistent, humid southwesterly airstream overnight suppressed radiative cooling typical in early summer, keeping overnight lows aligned with the long-term June average of 26–27°C. This outcome matches climatological baselines from the Hong Kong Observatory and NOAA seasonal outlooks projecting above-normal temperatures with minimal day-to-day variability. Only an unforecasted surge in clear skies or a sudden shift to drier northerly flow could have pushed the low below 27°C, but no such development materialized in model consensus or observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 5?
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$64,509 KL.
$64,509 KL.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
27°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$64,509 KL.
$64,509 KL.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
Yes
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Jun 3, 2026, 12:33 AM ET
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Resolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The Hong Kong Observatory's official minimum temperature reading of exactly 27°C on June 5, 2026, drove the near-certain market consensus. A persistent, humid southwesterly airstream overnight suppressed radiative cooling typical in early summer, keeping overnight lows aligned with the long-term June average of 26–27°C. This outcome matches climatological baselines from the Hong Kong Observatory and NOAA seasonal outlooks projecting above-normal temperatures with minimal day-to-day variability. Only an unforecasted surge in clear skies or a sudden shift to drier northerly flow could have pushed the low below 27°C, but no such development materialized in model consensus or observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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