Real-time observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm the overnight minimum temperature stabilized at 25°C on June 13, 2026, aligning with subtropical June climatology where average lows typically range 25–27°C under humid conditions and light southerly flow. Persistent monsoon influences and cloud cover limited radiative cooling, while multi-model consensus and seasonal outlooks for above-normal temperatures reinforced this threshold without anomalous cold advection. Traders have assigned 99.5% implied probability to 25°C based on verified station data and skin-in-the-game assessment rather than forecasts. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision from the primary reporting site or an unseasonal late drop below 24°C, though current atmospheric patterns make such shifts highly improbable before final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 13?
Lowest temperature in Hong Kong on June 13?
25°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$95,007 KL.
$95,007 KL.
Jun 13, 2026
22°C or below
No
23°C
No
24°C
No
25°C
Yes
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C or higher
No
25°C 100.0%
22°C or below <1%
23°C <1%
24°C <1%
$95,007 KL.
$95,007 KL.
Jun 13, 2026
22°C or below
$8,157 KL.
No
23°C
$8,446 KL.
No
24°C
$10,176 KL.
No
25°C
$19,830 KL.
Yes
26°C
$24,748 KL.
No
27°C
$12,106 KL.
No
28°C
$3,630 KL.
No
29°C
$3,430 KL.
No
30°C
$1,527 KL.
No
31°C
$1,481 KL.
No
32°C or higher
$1,478 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Real-time observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm the overnight minimum temperature stabilized at 25°C on June 13, 2026, aligning with subtropical June climatology where average lows typically range 25–27°C under humid conditions and light southerly flow. Persistent monsoon influences and cloud cover limited radiative cooling, while multi-model consensus and seasonal outlooks for above-normal temperatures reinforced this threshold without anomalous cold advection. Traders have assigned 99.5% implied probability to 25°C based on verified station data and skin-in-the-game assessment rather than forecasts. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision from the primary reporting site or an unseasonal late drop below 24°C, though current atmospheric patterns make such shifts highly improbable before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ET
Khối lượng
$95,007Ngày kết thúc
Jun 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.Real-time observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm the overnight minimum temperature stabilized at 25°C on June 13, 2026, aligning with subtropical June climatology where average lows typically range 25–27°C under humid conditions and light southerly flow. Persistent monsoon influences and cloud cover limited radiative cooling, while multi-model consensus and seasonal outlooks for above-normal temperatures reinforced this threshold without anomalous cold advection. Traders have assigned 99.5% implied probability to 25°C based on verified station data and skin-in-the-game assessment rather than forecasts. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision from the primary reporting site or an unseasonal late drop below 24°C, though current atmospheric patterns make such shifts highly improbable before final resolution.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the lowest temperature recorded by the Hong Kong Observatory in degrees Celsius on 13 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Khối lượng
$95,007Ngày kết thúc
Jun 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 11, 2026, 12:32 AM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Real-time observations from the Hong Kong Observatory confirm the overnight minimum temperature stabilized at 25°C on June 13, 2026, aligning with subtropical June climatology where average lows typically range 25–27°C under humid conditions and light southerly flow. Persistent monsoon influences and cloud cover limited radiative cooling, while multi-model consensus and seasonal outlooks for above-normal temperatures reinforced this threshold without anomalous cold advection. Traders have assigned 99.5% implied probability to 25°C based on verified station data and skin-in-the-game assessment rather than forecasts. A realistic challenge would require an official data revision from the primary reporting site or an unseasonal late drop below 24°C, though current atmospheric patterns make such shifts highly improbable before final resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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