Official Hong Kong Observatory records confirming a minimum of 28°C on August 17 underpin the 100% market consensus, consistent with subtropical summer climatology where nighttime radiative cooling is limited by high humidity, cloud cover, and the urban heat island effect around the headquarters station. Recent regional conditions, including elevated sea-surface temperatures and light winds, suppressed further drops below this threshold, aligning with seasonal normals near 27°C and the observatory’s ongoing above-normal temperature outlook for August. While measurement revisions or use of an alternate station could theoretically alter resolution, such changes remain improbable given standard verification protocols and the tight clustering of observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtLowest temperature in Hong Kong on August 17?
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$58,071 KL.
$58,071 KL.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
28°C 100.0%
23°C or below <1%
24°C <1%
25°C <1%
$58,071 KL.
$58,071 KL.
23°C or below
No
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
Yes
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Thị trường mở: Aug 15, 2026, 12:28 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from the Hong Kong Observatory, specifically the "Absolute Daily Min (deg. C)" the specified date once information is finalized in the relevant "Daily Extract", available here: https://www.weather.gov.hk/en/cis/climat.htm
This market can not resolve until data for this date has been published.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures in Celsius to one decimal place (eg, 9.1°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Any revisions to temperatures recorded after data is initially published for this market's timeframe will not be considered for this market's resolution.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official Hong Kong Observatory records confirming a minimum of 28°C on August 17 underpin the 100% market consensus, consistent with subtropical summer climatology where nighttime radiative cooling is limited by high humidity, cloud cover, and the urban heat island effect around the headquarters station. Recent regional conditions, including elevated sea-surface temperatures and light winds, suppressed further drops below this threshold, aligning with seasonal normals near 27°C and the observatory’s ongoing above-normal temperature outlook for August. While measurement revisions or use of an alternate station could theoretically alter resolution, such changes remain improbable given standard verification protocols and the tight clustering of observations.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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