Recent monthly Japan core CPI readings, hovering near 1.8% year-over-year through August 2026, anchor trader sentiment for the 2026 annual figure, with government energy subsidies and base effects tempering pass-through from higher oil prices and yen weakness. The Bank of Japan’s July 2026 Outlook Report lowered its fiscal-year core-core CPI forecast to 2.5%, citing gradual moderation after prior cost pressures, while ongoing policy normalization—following the June hike to 1% and the expected September move to 1.25%—signals expectations of contained underlying inflation. These factors create a tight contest between the ≤1.9% and 2.0-2.4% brackets, as modest acceleration in core-core gauges to 2.0% and wholesale price pressures introduce uncertainty around whether the annual outcome settles below or within the low-2% range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật≤1.9% 51.2%
2.0-2.4% 44%
2.5-2.9% 2.9%
3.0-3.4% <1%
$40,694 KL.
$40,694 KL.
Jan 22, 2027
≤1.9%
51%
2.0-2.4%
44%
2.5-2.9%
3%
3.0-3.4%
1%
3.5-3.9%
<1%
4.0%+
<1%
≤1.9% 51.2%
2.0-2.4% 44%
2.5-2.9% 2.9%
3.0-3.4% <1%
$40,694 KL.
$40,694 KL.
Jan 22, 2027
≤1.9%
$19,302 KL.
51%
2.0-2.4%
$11,379 KL.
44%
2.5-2.9%
$5,548 KL.
3%
3.0-3.4%
$1,661 KL.
1%
3.5-3.9%
$1,253 KL.
<1%
4.0%+
$1,551 KL.
<1%
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent monthly Japan core CPI readings, hovering near 1.8% year-over-year through August 2026, anchor trader sentiment for the 2026 annual figure, with government energy subsidies and base effects tempering pass-through from higher oil prices and yen weakness. The Bank of Japan’s July 2026 Outlook Report lowered its fiscal-year core-core CPI forecast to 2.5%, citing gradual moderation after prior cost pressures, while ongoing policy normalization—following the June hike to 1% and the expected September move to 1.25%—signals expectations of contained underlying inflation. These factors create a tight contest between the ≤1.9% and 2.0-2.4% brackets, as modest acceleration in core-core gauges to 2.0% and wholesale price pressures introduce uncertainty around whether the annual outcome settles below or within the low-2% range.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Thị trường mở: Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ET
Khối lượng
$40,694Ngày kết thúc
Jan 22, 2027Thị trường mở
Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.Recent monthly Japan core CPI readings, hovering near 1.8% year-over-year through August 2026, anchor trader sentiment for the 2026 annual figure, with government energy subsidies and base effects tempering pass-through from higher oil prices and yen weakness. The Bank of Japan’s July 2026 Outlook Report lowered its fiscal-year core-core CPI forecast to 2.5%, citing gradual moderation after prior cost pressures, while ongoing policy normalization—following the June hike to 1% and the expected September move to 1.25%—signals expectations of contained underlying inflation. These factors create a tight contest between the ≤1.9% and 2.0-2.4% brackets, as modest acceleration in core-core gauges to 2.0% and wholesale price pressures introduce uncertainty around whether the annual outcome settles below or within the low-2% range.
This market will resolve to the percentage change in the Japanese Consumer Price Index excluding fresh food (All items less fresh food, change from the previous year (%)) between 2025 and 2026 according to the Consumer Price Index Annual Report by the Statistics Bureau of Japan (SBJ).
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
The resolution source for this market will be the SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report released for 2026 (https://www.stat.go.jp/english/data/cpi/1588.html#nen), currently scheduled to be released on January 22, 2027. Resolution of this market will take place upon release of the aforementioned data.
Note: the resolution source for this market will be the official SBJ Consumer Price Index Annual Report, which reports percentage change in the Consumer Price Index over 12-month periods to only one decimal point (e.g., 2.8%). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market. For the avoidance of doubt, this market resolves on the core CPI figure — the all items index excluding fresh food — not the headline all items CPI figure.
If the SBJ does not release the relevant figures on the scheduled date, this market may remain open up until March 31, 2027. If the information is not released by that time, this market will resolve to the lowest bracket.
Khối lượng
$40,694Ngày kết thúc
Jan 22, 2027Thị trường mở
Jun 17, 2026, 7:25 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Recent monthly Japan core CPI readings, hovering near 1.8% year-over-year through August 2026, anchor trader sentiment for the 2026 annual figure, with government energy subsidies and base effects tempering pass-through from higher oil prices and yen weakness. The Bank of Japan’s July 2026 Outlook Report lowered its fiscal-year core-core CPI forecast to 2.5%, citing gradual moderation after prior cost pressures, while ongoing policy normalization—following the June hike to 1% and the expected September move to 1.25%—signals expectations of contained underlying inflation. These factors create a tight contest between the ≤1.9% and 2.0-2.4% brackets, as modest acceleration in core-core gauges to 2.0% and wholesale price pressures introduce uncertainty around whether the annual outcome settles below or within the low-2% range.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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