US-mediated talks between Israeli and Lebanese officials have produced a June 2026 framework agreement outlining Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon, deployment of Lebanese Armed Forces, and steps toward Hezbollah disarmament. Multiple rounds of direct Washington meetings, including military participation, have advanced this security track amid repeated ceasefire extensions and violations. Hezbollah's subsequent rejection of the deal as undermining sovereignty, combined with renewed cross-border strikes, now shapes trader assessments of whether additional high-level diplomatic sessions can occur before key deadlines. Scheduled follow-on negotiations and any escalation or de-escalation signals from Hezbollah or the US remain primary variables for near-term market movement.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật$237,678 KL.
Jul 10, 2026
July 10
No
July 13
No
July 14
Yes
July 15
Yes
July 16
Yes
July 17
Yes
July 31
Yes
$237,678 KL.
July 10
$23,478 KL.
No
July 13
$10,669 KL.
No
July 14
$83,878 KL.
Yes
July 15
$18,507 KL.
Yes
July 16
$9,935 KL.
Yes
July 17
$68,655 KL.
Yes
July 31
$22,557 KL.
Yes
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated talks between Israeli and Lebanese officials have produced a June 2026 framework agreement outlining Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon, deployment of Lebanese Armed Forces, and steps toward Hezbollah disarmament. Multiple rounds of direct Washington meetings, including military participation, have advanced this security track amid repeated ceasefire extensions and violations. Hezbollah's subsequent rejection of the deal as undermining sovereignty, combined with renewed cross-border strikes, now shapes trader assessments of whether additional high-level diplomatic sessions can occur before key deadlines. Scheduled follow-on negotiations and any escalation or de-escalation signals from Hezbollah or the US remain primary variables for near-term market movement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Jun 30, 2026, 1:23 PM ET
Khối lượng
$237,678Ngày kết thúc
Jul 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 30, 2026, 1:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.US-mediated talks between Israeli and Lebanese officials have produced a June 2026 framework agreement outlining Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon, deployment of Lebanese Armed Forces, and steps toward Hezbollah disarmament. Multiple rounds of direct Washington meetings, including military participation, have advanced this security track amid repeated ceasefire extensions and violations. Hezbollah's subsequent rejection of the deal as undermining sovereignty, combined with renewed cross-border strikes, now shapes trader assessments of whether additional high-level diplomatic sessions can occur before key deadlines. Scheduled follow-on negotiations and any escalation or de-escalation signals from Hezbollah or the US remain primary variables for near-term market movement.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if there is a diplomatic meeting between representatives of Israel and Lebanon by the listed date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
A diplomatic meeting refers to a deliberate meeting between representatives of the listed countries who are acting in an official capacity and are authorized to engage in negotiation or diplomacy regarding Israel-Lebanon relations on behalf of their governments. Meetings conducted indirectly, for example, through designated mediators, facilitators, or interlocutors acting with the knowledge and authorization of the relevant governments, will qualify.
Brief greetings, chance encounters, or talks otherwise not deliberately aimed at diplomacy or negotiation will not count.
The meeting must be in-person (including indirect in-person meetings) and must be publicly acknowledged by either government or reported by a consensus of credible media. Remote meetings, phone calls, or other meetings where the relevant parties are not present will not count.
The resolution sources for this market will be official information from the governments of the Israel and Lebanon, and a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$237,678Ngày kết thúc
Jul 31, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 30, 2026, 1:23 PM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
US-mediated talks between Israeli and Lebanese officials have produced a June 2026 framework agreement outlining Israeli withdrawal from southern Lebanon, deployment of Lebanese Armed Forces, and steps toward Hezbollah disarmament. Multiple rounds of direct Washington meetings, including military participation, have advanced this security track amid repeated ceasefire extensions and violations. Hezbollah's subsequent rejection of the deal as undermining sovereignty, combined with renewed cross-border strikes, now shapes trader assessments of whether additional high-level diplomatic sessions can occur before key deadlines. Scheduled follow-on negotiations and any escalation or de-escalation signals from Hezbollah or the US remain primary variables for near-term market movement.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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