Recent polling averages place the Joint List (Hadash-Ta'al-Balad) at 7-9 Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, aligning with the leading 6.5-7.5% vote-share bin. This range reflects consistent survey results across multiple pollsters, with limited movement in the final weeks as Arab parties together hold roughly 12-14 seats. Attempts by the Central Elections Committee to disqualify the slate on security-related grounds introduced procedural uncertainty but face likely reversal by the Supreme Court, preserving the list's participation. Surplus-vote agreements and turnout among Arab voters remain key variables that could shift final percentages within or near the current market leader.