Recent polling averages place the Reservists–New Economic Party near or below Israel’s 3.25% electoral threshold, with results fluctuating between roughly 2.2% and 4 seats across outlets in late September and early October. The alliance, formalized in early September after prior partnerships dissolved, combines Yoaz Hendel’s focus on universal conscription and reservist burdens with Yaron Zelekha’s economic platform. Votes among reservists remain fragmented across larger Zionist lists, while undecided voters and turnout dynamics near election day on 27 October add uncertainty. Trader pricing reflects this volatility, with the sub-2.75% bracket leading as the most consistent recent survey outcome.