Recent polling averages place the Religious Zionist Party–Zehut joint list at roughly six Knesset seats ahead of the October 27 election, reflecting steady but limited support for the technical bloc combining Bezalel Smotrich’s settlement-focused platform with Moshe Feiglin’s nationalist and libertarian priorities. The list benefits from a surplus-vote agreement with Likud and a position in the broader right-wing camp, yet faces competition within that bloc and an overall fragmented Knesset where neither major coalition appears likely to reach a majority of 61 seats. Recent surveys show modest fluctuations between five and seven mandates, driven by turnout dynamics among religious and settler voters as well as the impact of the 3.25% electoral threshold. These factors keep implied probabilities for 5-6% versus 6%+ vote shares closely balanced, with separation likely hinging on final-week mobilization and any late shifts in right-wing consolidation.