Recent polling ahead of Israel's October 27 Knesset election shows Otzma Yehudit, led by National Security Minister Itamar Ben-Gvir, averaging near eight seats amid a fragmented right-wing bloc that falls short of a majority. The party's position remains sensitive to turnout among nationalist voters, competition for seats with Religious Zionism-Zehut and Likud, and risks from parties hovering near the 3.25% threshold that could waste votes or trigger surplus agreements. Ben-Gvir's public stance on defense priorities and coalition options has kept the race dynamic, while the party's clearance by the Central Elections Committee removed one source of uncertainty. Final seat totals will hinge on mobilization in the remaining days and how votes distribute across the broader nationalist camp.