Iran's position that domestic uranium enrichment remains a core national right has anchored trader expectations against any near-term agreement to halt the activity entirely by September 30. Recent diplomacy, including the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum ending active conflict with the United States and Israel, preserved the existing nuclear status quo while deferring deeper talks on enrichment limits. Iranian officials have consistently rejected proposals for zero or long-term suspension of enrichment on Iranian soil, citing it as a red line in prior negotiation rounds. Ongoing IAEA reporting on stockpiles and verification gaps, combined with the expiration of the prior JCPOA framework in 2025, further underscore the absence of conditions that would prompt rapid reversal of this stance within the resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?
Iran agrees to end enrichment of uranium by September 30?
6% khả năng
$59,363 KL.
$59,363 KL.
Sep 30, 2026
6% khả năng
$59,363 KL.
$59,363 KL.
Sep 30, 2026
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iran's position that domestic uranium enrichment remains a core national right has anchored trader expectations against any near-term agreement to halt the activity entirely by September 30. Recent diplomacy, including the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum ending active conflict with the United States and Israel, preserved the existing nuclear status quo while deferring deeper talks on enrichment limits. Iranian officials have consistently rejected proposals for zero or long-term suspension of enrichment on Iranian soil, citing it as a red line in prior negotiation rounds. Ongoing IAEA reporting on stockpiles and verification gaps, combined with the expiration of the prior JCPOA framework in 2025, further underscore the absence of conditions that would prompt rapid reversal of this stance within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Jul 9, 2026, 9:43 AM ET
Khối lượng
$59,363Ngày kết thúc
Sep 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 9, 2026, 9:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting. Iran's position that domestic uranium enrichment remains a core national right has anchored trader expectations against any near-term agreement to halt the activity entirely by September 30. Recent diplomacy, including the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum ending active conflict with the United States and Israel, preserved the existing nuclear status quo while deferring deeper talks on enrichment limits. Iranian officials have consistently rejected proposals for zero or long-term suspension of enrichment on Iranian soil, citing it as a red line in prior negotiation rounds. Ongoing IAEA reporting on stockpiles and verification gaps, combined with the expiration of the prior JCPOA framework in 2025, further underscore the absence of conditions that would prompt rapid reversal of this stance within the resolution window.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iran publicly agrees to end all enrichment of uranium by September 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
An official pledge by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium will qualify for a “Yes” resolution, whether as a unilateral announcement or part of an agreement with the U.S. or Israel.
Any agreement or pledge made before the resolution date of this market will qualify, regardless of if/when the agreement goes into effect.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium for any amount of time will count.
An agreement by Iran to end all enrichment of uranium as a precondition of a more comprehensive peace process or deal will qualify, even if the agreement is not finalized or part of a formalized peace deal.
Agreements to merely limit or cap the level or quality of enrichment—such as reducing enrichment to below weapons-grade thresholds—will not qualify.
The primary resolution source for this market will be a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$59,363Ngày kết thúc
Sep 30, 2026Thị trường mở
Jul 9, 2026, 9:43 AM ETResolver
0x65070BE91...Iran's position that domestic uranium enrichment remains a core national right has anchored trader expectations against any near-term agreement to halt the activity entirely by September 30. Recent diplomacy, including the June 2026 Islamabad Memorandum ending active conflict with the United States and Israel, preserved the existing nuclear status quo while deferring deeper talks on enrichment limits. Iranian officials have consistently rejected proposals for zero or long-term suspension of enrichment on Iranian soil, citing it as a red line in prior negotiation rounds. Ongoing IAEA reporting on stockpiles and verification gaps, combined with the expiration of the prior JCPOA framework in 2025, further underscore the absence of conditions that would prompt rapid reversal of this stance within the resolution window.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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