President Donald Trump has repeatedly threatened to invoke the Insurrection Act amid escalated federal immigration enforcement in Minnesota, where protests followed Immigration and Customs Enforcement operations and a January 2026 shooting of a civilian by an ICE agent. The administration has surged additional agents to the state as part of broader deportation efforts, prompting local officials to file lawsuits challenging the tactics as unconstitutional. No invocation has occurred in the past 30 days, leaving the market focused on whether future unrest or policy resistance would prompt presidential action under the 1807 law authorizing domestic military deployment. Key factors include Senate dynamics on related legislation, state-federal tensions over border security, and any upcoming court rulings on enforcement authority. Traders monitor primary sources such as official statements and protest developments for signals of escalation.