Illinois voters will elect a successor to retiring Democratic Senator Dick Durbin in the November 2026 general election. Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March primary with backing from Gov. JB Pritzker and the state party apparatus, positioning her as the clear frontrunner in a state where Republicans have not won a Senate contest since 2010. The Republican nominee, former state party chair Don Tracy, faces structural headwinds in a reliably Democratic electorate. Current trader consensus on the outcome reflects these partisan fundamentals and limited recent developments that could alter the trajectory, though late-cycle events such as candidate health developments, major scandals, or an unusually strong national Republican performance remain potential variables before Election Day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIllinois Senate Election Winner
Illinois Senate Election Winner
$24,944 KL.
$24,944 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
95%
Republican
4%
$24,944 KL.
$24,944 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Democrat
$12,804 KL.
95%
Republican
$12,139 KL.
4%
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois voters will elect a successor to retiring Democratic Senator Dick Durbin in the November 2026 general election. Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March primary with backing from Gov. JB Pritzker and the state party apparatus, positioning her as the clear frontrunner in a state where Republicans have not won a Senate contest since 2010. The Republican nominee, former state party chair Don Tracy, faces structural headwinds in a reliably Democratic electorate. Current trader consensus on the outcome reflects these partisan fundamentals and limited recent developments that could alter the trajectory, though late-cycle events such as candidate health developments, major scandals, or an unusually strong national Republican performance remain potential variables before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Thị trường mở: Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ET
Khối lượng
$24,944Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.Illinois voters will elect a successor to retiring Democratic Senator Dick Durbin in the November 2026 general election. Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March primary with backing from Gov. JB Pritzker and the state party apparatus, positioning her as the clear frontrunner in a state where Republicans have not won a Senate contest since 2010. The Republican nominee, former state party chair Don Tracy, faces structural headwinds in a reliably Democratic electorate. Current trader consensus on the outcome reflects these partisan fundamentals and limited recent developments that could alter the trajectory, though late-cycle events such as candidate health developments, major scandals, or an unusually strong national Republican performance remain potential variables before Election Day.
This market will resolve according to the winner of the 2026 midterm Illinois U.S. Senate election, inclusive of any run-offs.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
A candidate shall be considered to represent a party in the event that he or she is the nominee of the party in question. Candidates other than the Democratic or Republican nominee (e.g., Greens, Libertarian, independent) may be added at a later date.
Candidates who run as independents will not be encompassed by the “Democrat” or “Republican” options regardless of any affiliation they may have with the party.
The resolution source for this market is the Associated Press, Fox News, and NBC. This market will resolve once all three sources call the race for the same candidate. If all three sources haven’t called the race in this state for the same candidate, this market will resolve based on the official certification.
Khối lượng
$24,944Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Oct 13, 2025, 5:35 PM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Illinois voters will elect a successor to retiring Democratic Senator Dick Durbin in the November 2026 general election. Lt. Gov. Juliana Stratton secured the Democratic nomination in the March primary with backing from Gov. JB Pritzker and the state party apparatus, positioning her as the clear frontrunner in a state where Republicans have not won a Senate contest since 2010. The Republican nominee, former state party chair Don Tracy, faces structural headwinds in a reliably Democratic electorate. Current trader consensus on the outcome reflects these partisan fundamentals and limited recent developments that could alter the trajectory, though late-cycle events such as candidate health developments, major scandals, or an unusually strong national Republican performance remain potential variables before Election Day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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