Incumbent Democrat Nikki Budzinski secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with over 75 percent of the vote in Illinois's 13th Congressional District, setting up a general election matchup against Republican nominee Jeff Wilson. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid Democratic, reflecting its partisan voting index and the incumbent's prior margins exceeding 15 points. Fundraising data shows Democratic advantages in resources and visibility ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee above 90 percent aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling shifts or major campaign developments in recent months. Late developments such as a significant national Republican surge, an unforeseen candidate withdrawal, or a high-profile scandal could still alter the race trajectory before Election Day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIL-13 House Election Winner
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
8%
Democratic Party
92%
Republican Party
8%
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:09 AM ET
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Resolver
0x2F5e3684c...Incumbent Democrat Nikki Budzinski secured her party's nomination in the March 2026 primary with over 75 percent of the vote in Illinois's 13th Congressional District, setting up a general election matchup against Republican nominee Jeff Wilson. Nonpartisan ratings classify the seat as Solid Democratic, reflecting its partisan voting index and the incumbent's prior margins exceeding 15 points. Fundraising data shows Democratic advantages in resources and visibility ahead of the November general election. Trader consensus pricing the Democratic nominee above 90 percent aligns with these structural factors and the absence of competitive polling shifts or major campaign developments in recent months. Late developments such as a significant national Republican surge, an unforeseen candidate withdrawal, or a high-profile scandal could still alter the race trajectory before Election Day.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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