Idaho's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, reflected in the market's strong consensus for a Republican victory. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured renomination in the May 19 primary with roughly 78 percent of the vote against limited opposition, while Democrat Kaylee Peterson advanced unopposed in substance from her party's contest. The district's partisan voting index exceeds R+22, consistent with its history of double-digit Republican margins, including a 45-point Trump advantage in the prior presidential cycle. Fulcher's established record and the absence of competitive Democratic fundraising or polling have reinforced trader positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. A shift would require an unforeseen national Democratic surge or localized disruption capable of overcoming the structural Republican advantage in this western Idaho district.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtID-01 House Election Winner
ID-01 House Election Winner
$34,548 KL.
$34,548 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
95%
Democratic Party
3%
$34,548 KL.
$34,548 KL.
Nov 3, 2026
Republican Party
$21,726 KL.
95%
Democratic Party
$12,822 KL.
3%
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, reflected in the market's strong consensus for a Republican victory. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured renomination in the May 19 primary with roughly 78 percent of the vote against limited opposition, while Democrat Kaylee Peterson advanced unopposed in substance from her party's contest. The district's partisan voting index exceeds R+22, consistent with its history of double-digit Republican margins, including a 45-point Trump advantage in the prior presidential cycle. Fulcher's established record and the absence of competitive Democratic fundraising or polling have reinforced trader positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. A shift would require an unforeseen national Democratic surge or localized disruption capable of overcoming the structural Republican advantage in this western Idaho district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Thị trường mở: Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ET
Khối lượng
$34,548Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).Idaho's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, reflected in the market's strong consensus for a Republican victory. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured renomination in the May 19 primary with roughly 78 percent of the vote against limited opposition, while Democrat Kaylee Peterson advanced unopposed in substance from her party's contest. The district's partisan voting index exceeds R+22, consistent with its history of double-digit Republican margins, including a 45-point Trump advantage in the prior presidential cycle. Fulcher's established record and the absence of competitive Democratic fundraising or polling have reinforced trader positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. A shift would require an unforeseen national Democratic surge or localized disruption capable of overcoming the structural Republican advantage in this western Idaho district.
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the ID-01 congressional district seat in the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections. The midterm elections will take place on November 4, 2026.
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources. A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting. If there is ambiguity, this market will resolve based solely on the official results as reported by the United States government, specifically the Federal Election Commission (https://www.fec.gov/).
Khối lượng
$34,548Ngày kết thúc
Nov 3, 2026Thị trường mở
Jan 28, 2026, 11:08 AM ETResolver
0x2F5e3684c...Idaho's 1st congressional district remains a solidly Republican seat, reflected in the market's strong consensus for a Republican victory. Incumbent Russ Fulcher secured renomination in the May 19 primary with roughly 78 percent of the vote against limited opposition, while Democrat Kaylee Peterson advanced unopposed in substance from her party's contest. The district's partisan voting index exceeds R+22, consistent with its history of double-digit Republican margins, including a 45-point Trump advantage in the prior presidential cycle. Fulcher's established record and the absence of competitive Democratic fundraising or polling have reinforced trader positioning ahead of the November 3 general election. A shift would require an unforeseen national Democratic surge or localized disruption capable of overcoming the structural Republican advantage in this western Idaho district.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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