Ongoing diplomatic tensions between Iran and Western powers, combined with IAEA demands for verification of highly enriched uranium stockpiles, shape trader views on inspection timelines at Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan. Iran suspended full IAEA access after 2025 U.S.-Israeli strikes on its enrichment facilities, limiting inspectors to the Bushehr power plant since then and rejecting visits to damaged sites without special protocols or sanctions relief. IAEA reports through September 2026 highlight unverified HEU locations, particularly at Isfahan tunnels, and note an interim June 2026 U.S.-Iran framework that collapsed amid disputes over access terms. Iran maintains that attacked facilities require tailored arrangements, while the agency stresses urgent safeguards compliance under the NPT. Scheduled IAEA Board meetings and any renewed bilateral talks could influence near-term access prospects.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtIAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?
IAEA visits Isfahan, Fordow, or Natanz nuclear site by...?
$374,032 KL.
Oct 31, 2026
October 31
4%
December 31
13%
$374,032 KL.
October 31
$83,875 KL.
4%
December 31
$36,759 KL.
13%
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing diplomatic tensions between Iran and Western powers, combined with IAEA demands for verification of highly enriched uranium stockpiles, shape trader views on inspection timelines at Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan. Iran suspended full IAEA access after 2025 U.S.-Israeli strikes on its enrichment facilities, limiting inspectors to the Bushehr power plant since then and rejecting visits to damaged sites without special protocols or sanctions relief. IAEA reports through September 2026 highlight unverified HEU locations, particularly at Isfahan tunnels, and note an interim June 2026 U.S.-Iran framework that collapsed amid disputes over access terms. Iran maintains that attacked facilities require tailored arrangements, while the agency stresses urgent safeguards compliance under the NPT. Scheduled IAEA Board meetings and any renewed bilateral talks could influence near-term access prospects.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Thị trường mở: Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ET
Khối lượng
$374,032Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.Ongoing diplomatic tensions between Iran and Western powers, combined with IAEA demands for verification of highly enriched uranium stockpiles, shape trader views on inspection timelines at Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan. Iran suspended full IAEA access after 2025 U.S.-Israeli strikes on its enrichment facilities, limiting inspectors to the Bushehr power plant since then and rejecting visits to damaged sites without special protocols or sanctions relief. IAEA reports through September 2026 highlight unverified HEU locations, particularly at Isfahan tunnels, and note an interim June 2026 U.S.-Iran framework that collapsed amid disputes over access terms. Iran maintains that attacked facilities require tailored arrangements, while the agency stresses urgent safeguards compliance under the NPT. Scheduled IAEA Board meetings and any renewed bilateral talks could influence near-term access prospects.
This market will resolve to "Yes" if one or more International Atomic Energy Agency (IAEA) officials physically visit the Isfahan Nuclear Technology Center, Fordow Fuel Enrichment Plant, or Natanz Nuclear Facility in Iran between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Pickaxe Mountain is not considered part of the Natanz Nuclear Facility.
IAEA officials refers to individuals acting in an official capacity on behalf of the IAEA, including IAEA inspectors, staff, and the Director General.
A qualifying visit must include physical presence within the recognized boundaries of one of the listed sites. Visits to other sites in Iran, or virtual inspections of the sites, will not qualify.
The resolution sources for this market will be the IAEA and a consensus of credible reporting.
Khối lượng
$374,032Ngày kết thúc
Jan 1, 2027Thị trường mở
Jul 8, 2026, 8:34 PM ETNgười giải quyết
0x65070BE91...Ongoing diplomatic tensions between Iran and Western powers, combined with IAEA demands for verification of highly enriched uranium stockpiles, shape trader views on inspection timelines at Natanz, Fordow, and Isfahan. Iran suspended full IAEA access after 2025 U.S.-Israeli strikes on its enrichment facilities, limiting inspectors to the Bushehr power plant since then and rejecting visits to damaged sites without special protocols or sanctions relief. IAEA reports through September 2026 highlight unverified HEU locations, particularly at Isfahan tunnels, and note an interim June 2026 U.S.-Iran framework that collapsed amid disputes over access terms. Iran maintains that attacked facilities require tailored arrangements, while the agency stresses urgent safeguards compliance under the NPT. Scheduled IAEA Board meetings and any renewed bilateral talks could influence near-term access prospects.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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