Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to exactly one dissent at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, reflecting expectations of restored policy unity following the April 28-29 session's four dissents—the most since 1992—driven by hawkish pushback against an easing bias amid $120 Brent oil shocks and tariff-fueled inflation pressures. This recent fracture, highlighted in the 8-4 vote split, marked a stagflation debate outlier against Powell-era norms of zero or single dissents, with his post-May 15 transition to governor role anticipated to stabilize signals. Key risks include hotter-than-expected May CPI or nonfarm payrolls data reigniting divisions, potentially elevating multi-dissent odds if labor softens unexpectedly.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật1 100.0%
0 <1%
2 <1%
3 <1%
$1,529,898 KL.
$1,529,898 KL.
Apr 29, 2026
0
No
1
Yes
2
No
3
No
4+
No
1 100.0%
0 <1%
2 <1%
3 <1%
$1,529,898 KL.
$1,529,898 KL.
Apr 29, 2026
0
$26,345 KL.
No
1
$684,876 KL.
Yes
2
$20,387 KL.
No
3
$11,236 KL.
No
4+
$787,055 KL.
No
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for April 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on April 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to exactly one dissent at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, reflecting expectations of restored policy unity following the April 28-29 session's four dissents—the most since 1992—driven by hawkish pushback against an easing bias amid $120 Brent oil shocks and tariff-fueled inflation pressures. This recent fracture, highlighted in the 8-4 vote split, marked a stagflation debate outlier against Powell-era norms of zero or single dissents, with his post-May 15 transition to governor role anticipated to stabilize signals. Key risks include hotter-than-expected May CPI or nonfarm payrolls data reigniting divisions, potentially elevating multi-dissent odds if labor softens unexpectedly.
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for April 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on April 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Thị trường mở: Mar 19, 2026, 8:12 PM ET
Khối lượng
$1,529,898Ngày kết thúc
Apr 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 19, 2026, 8:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for April 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on April 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to exactly one dissent at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, reflecting expectations of restored policy unity following the April 28-29 session's four dissents—the most since 1992—driven by hawkish pushback against an easing bias amid $120 Brent oil shocks and tariff-fueled inflation pressures. This recent fracture, highlighted in the 8-4 vote split, marked a stagflation debate outlier against Powell-era norms of zero or single dissents, with his post-May 15 transition to governor role anticipated to stabilize signals. Key risks include hotter-than-expected May CPI or nonfarm payrolls data reigniting divisions, potentially elevating multi-dissent odds if labor softens unexpectedly.
The next Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for April 28-29, 2026. The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on April 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the next Federal Reserve Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their April meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Khối lượng
$1,529,898Ngày kết thúc
Apr 29, 2026Thị trường mở
Mar 19, 2026, 8:12 PM ETResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Trader consensus on Polymarket assigns a 100% implied probability to exactly one dissent at the June 16-17 FOMC meeting, reflecting expectations of restored policy unity following the April 28-29 session's four dissents—the most since 1992—driven by hawkish pushback against an easing bias amid $120 Brent oil shocks and tariff-fueled inflation pressures. This recent fracture, highlighted in the 8-4 vote split, marked a stagflation debate outlier against Powell-era norms of zero or single dissents, with his post-May 15 transition to governor role anticipated to stabilize signals. Key risks include hotter-than-expected May CPI or nonfarm payrolls data reigniting divisions, potentially elevating multi-dissent odds if labor softens unexpectedly.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Cẩn thận với liên kết bên ngoài.
Câu hỏi thường gặp