USGS seismic monitoring recorded exactly one earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or greater worldwide between August 17 and 23, 2026, anchoring the near-certain market consensus on outcome “1.” Global catalogs show M6.5+ events occur several times per week on average, driven by tectonic plate boundaries such as the Sunda subduction zone and Andean margin; the isolated count reflects normal background seismicity without aftershock sequences or swarm activity pushing totals higher. Resolution hinges strictly on final USGS magnitudes and UTC timing within the seven-day window. A revised magnitude or newly confirmed event could shift the tally, though post-processing rarely alters initial 6.5+ classifications at this scale.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHow many 6.5 or above earthquakes August 17 - August 23?
How many 6.5 or above earthquakes August 17 - August 23?
1 100.0%
0 <1%
2 <1%
3 <1%
$20,612 KL.
$20,612 KL.
Aug 23, 2026
0
No
1
Yes
2
No
3
No
4
No
5
No
>5
No
1 100.0%
0 <1%
2 <1%
3 <1%
$20,612 KL.
$20,612 KL.
Aug 23, 2026
0
$4,873 KL.
No
1
$5,874 KL.
Yes
2
$4,582 KL.
No
3
$853 KL.
No
4
$791 KL.
No
5
$1,298 KL.
No
>5
$2,341 KL.
No
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 17, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude, or 48 hours if the prior paragraph applies. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.USGS seismic monitoring recorded exactly one earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or greater worldwide between August 17 and 23, 2026, anchoring the near-certain market consensus on outcome “1.” Global catalogs show M6.5+ events occur several times per week on average, driven by tectonic plate boundaries such as the Sunda subduction zone and Andean margin; the isolated count reflects normal background seismicity without aftershock sequences or swarm activity pushing totals higher. Resolution hinges strictly on final USGS magnitudes and UTC timing within the seven-day window. A revised magnitude or newly confirmed event could shift the tally, though post-processing rarely alters initial 6.5+ classifications at this scale.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 17, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude, or 48 hours if the prior paragraph applies. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude, or 48 hours if the prior paragraph applies. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Thị trường mở: Aug 14, 2026, 2:14 PM ET
Khối lượng
$20,612Ngày kết thúc
Aug 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 2:14 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 17, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude, or 48 hours if the prior paragraph applies. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.USGS seismic monitoring recorded exactly one earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or greater worldwide between August 17 and 23, 2026, anchoring the near-certain market consensus on outcome “1.” Global catalogs show M6.5+ events occur several times per week on average, driven by tectonic plate boundaries such as the Sunda subduction zone and Andean margin; the isolated count reflects normal background seismicity without aftershock sequences or swarm activity pushing totals higher. Resolution hinges strictly on final USGS magnitudes and UTC timing within the seven-day window. A revised magnitude or newly confirmed event could shift the tally, though post-processing rarely alters initial 6.5+ classifications at this scale.
This market will resolve according to the total number of earthquakes with a magnitude of 6.5 or higher that occur anywhere on Earth between August 17, 2026, 12:00 AM ET, and August 23, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude, or 48 hours if the prior paragraph applies. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
The resolution source for this market is the United States Geological Survey (USGS) Earthquake Hazards Program, with the minimum magnitude set to 6.5 and the date parameters set to the relevant dates for this market's timeframe (https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/).
If an earthquake of substantial size has occurred within this market's timeframe but not yet appeared on the resolution source, this market may remain open until August 25, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, or until the earthquake in question otherwise appears on the resolution source. If such an earthquake has not appeared on the resolution source by that date, another credible resolution source will be used.
This market may not resolve until the timeframe of this market has concluded. If a qualifying earthquake has been recorded on the final day, this market may remain open for 24 hours to allow for revisions to the recorded magnitude, or 48 hours if the prior paragraph applies. After 24 hours, this market will resolve according to the latest provided data.
Khối lượng
$20,612Ngày kết thúc
Aug 24, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 14, 2026, 2:14 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://earthquake.usgs.gov/earthquakes/search/Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
USGS seismic monitoring recorded exactly one earthquake of magnitude 6.5 or greater worldwide between August 17 and 23, 2026, anchoring the near-certain market consensus on outcome “1.” Global catalogs show M6.5+ events occur several times per week on average, driven by tectonic plate boundaries such as the Sunda subduction zone and Andean margin; the isolated count reflects normal background seismicity without aftershock sequences or swarm activity pushing totals higher. Resolution hinges strictly on final USGS magnitudes and UTC timing within the seven-day window. A revised magnitude or newly confirmed event could shift the tally, though post-processing rarely alters initial 6.5+ classifications at this scale.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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