Official MetService forecasts and numerical weather models have converged on a 17°C maximum for Wellington on June 15, driven by persistent northerly winds advecting a mild airmass over the region. This setup has produced above-average winter conditions, consistent with early June observations exceeding 19°C and climatological baselines around 13°C. With observed peaks aligning closely to guidance and minimal forecast revisions in recent model runs, trader consensus has reached full certainty on the 17°C outcome. A late southerly wind shift or stronger-than-expected frontal passage could introduce cooler air and cap the high below this threshold, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before the daily maximum is attained.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wellington on June 15?
Highest temperature in Wellington on June 15?
17°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$55,119 KL.
$55,119 KL.
Jun 15, 2026
11°C or below
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C
No
15°C
No
16°C
No
17°C
Yes
18°C
No
19°C
No
20°C
No
21°C or higher
No
17°C 100.0%
11°C or below <1%
12°C <1%
13°C <1%
$55,119 KL.
$55,119 KL.
Jun 15, 2026
11°C or below
$167 KL.
No
12°C
$365 KL.
No
13°C
$2,254 KL.
No
14°C
$3,425 KL.
No
15°C
$6,395 KL.
No
16°C
$10,104 KL.
No
17°C
$10,793 KL.
Yes
18°C
$8,856 KL.
No
19°C
$5,330 KL.
No
20°C
$6,187 KL.
No
21°C or higher
$1,244 KL.
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official MetService forecasts and numerical weather models have converged on a 17°C maximum for Wellington on June 15, driven by persistent northerly winds advecting a mild airmass over the region. This setup has produced above-average winter conditions, consistent with early June observations exceeding 19°C and climatological baselines around 13°C. With observed peaks aligning closely to guidance and minimal forecast revisions in recent model runs, trader consensus has reached full certainty on the 17°C outcome. A late southerly wind shift or stronger-than-expected frontal passage could introduce cooler air and cap the high below this threshold, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before the daily maximum is attained.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ET
Khối lượng
$55,119Ngày kết thúc
Jun 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Official MetService forecasts and numerical weather models have converged on a 17°C maximum for Wellington on June 15, driven by persistent northerly winds advecting a mild airmass over the region. This setup has produced above-average winter conditions, consistent with early June observations exceeding 19°C and climatological baselines around 13°C. With observed peaks aligning closely to guidance and minimal forecast revisions in recent model runs, trader consensus has reached full certainty on the 17°C outcome. A late southerly wind shift or stronger-than-expected frontal passage could introduce cooler air and cap the high below this threshold, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before the daily maximum is attained.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 15 Jun '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$55,119Ngày kết thúc
Jun 15, 2026Thị trường mở
Jun 13, 2026, 12:18 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNResolver
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official MetService forecasts and numerical weather models have converged on a 17°C maximum for Wellington on June 15, driven by persistent northerly winds advecting a mild airmass over the region. This setup has produced above-average winter conditions, consistent with early June observations exceeding 19°C and climatological baselines around 13°C. With observed peaks aligning closely to guidance and minimal forecast revisions in recent model runs, trader consensus has reached full certainty on the 17°C outcome. A late southerly wind shift or stronger-than-expected frontal passage could introduce cooler air and cap the high below this threshold, though current guidance shows low probability of such changes before the daily maximum is attained.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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