Recent meteorological forecasts from MetService and other official sources project a daily maximum of 9–10°C in Wellington on August 17, 2026, under persistent southerly winds advecting cooler polar maritime air masses typical of Southern Hemisphere mid-winter. This consensus, reinforced by model runs showing limited diurnal warming amid cloud cover and occasional showers, has driven near-certain market-implied odds for the 10°C outcome. Historical August averages near 12°C provide context for the below-normal reading. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted northerly shift or clear-sky heating pushing the official measurement above 10°C, though current data and timing make such revisions unlikely before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Wellington on August 17?
Highest temperature in Wellington on August 17?
10°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$91,676 KL.
$91,676 KL.
Aug 17, 2026
4°C or below
No
5°C
No
6°C
No
7°C
No
8°C
No
9°C
No
10°C
Yes
11°C
No
12°C
No
13°C
No
14°C or higher
No
10°C 100.0%
4°C or below <1%
5°C <1%
6°C <1%
$91,676 KL.
$91,676 KL.
Aug 17, 2026
4°C or below
$110 KL.
No
5°C
$106 KL.
No
6°C
$2,135 KL.
No
7°C
$4,515 KL.
No
8°C
$14,162 KL.
No
9°C
$17,870 KL.
No
10°C
$21,778 KL.
Yes
11°C
$19,836 KL.
No
12°C
$5,060 KL.
No
13°C
$5,168 KL.
No
14°C or higher
$938 KL.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from MetService and other official sources project a daily maximum of 9–10°C in Wellington on August 17, 2026, under persistent southerly winds advecting cooler polar maritime air masses typical of Southern Hemisphere mid-winter. This consensus, reinforced by model runs showing limited diurnal warming amid cloud cover and occasional showers, has driven near-certain market-implied odds for the 10°C outcome. Historical August averages near 12°C provide context for the below-normal reading. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted northerly shift or clear-sky heating pushing the official measurement above 10°C, though current data and timing make such revisions unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ET
Khối lượng
$91,676Ngày kết thúc
Aug 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent meteorological forecasts from MetService and other official sources project a daily maximum of 9–10°C in Wellington on August 17, 2026, under persistent southerly winds advecting cooler polar maritime air masses typical of Southern Hemisphere mid-winter. This consensus, reinforced by model runs showing limited diurnal warming amid cloud cover and occasional showers, has driven near-certain market-implied odds for the 10°C outcome. Historical August averages near 12°C provide context for the below-normal reading. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted northerly shift or clear-sky heating pushing the official measurement above 10°C, though current data and timing make such revisions unlikely before resolution.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Wellington Intl Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 17 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Wellington Intl Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWN.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$91,676Ngày kết thúc
Aug 17, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 15, 2026, 4:04 PM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/nz/wellington/NZWNNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Recent meteorological forecasts from MetService and other official sources project a daily maximum of 9–10°C in Wellington on August 17, 2026, under persistent southerly winds advecting cooler polar maritime air masses typical of Southern Hemisphere mid-winter. This consensus, reinforced by model runs showing limited diurnal warming amid cloud cover and occasional showers, has driven near-certain market-implied odds for the 10°C outcome. Historical August averages near 12°C provide context for the below-normal reading. A realistic challenge would require an unforecasted northerly shift or clear-sky heating pushing the official measurement above 10°C, though current data and timing make such revisions unlikely before resolution.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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