Short-range ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological agencies have converged on a Warsaw daily maximum of 23°C for August 13, driven by stable high pressure, light northeasterly winds, and limited daytime heating without significant warm-air advection. This aligns with the official measurement station at Warsaw Chopin Airport and typical mid-August climatology for the region, where average highs hover near 23°C. Market-implied odds reflect traders' assessment of these model outputs and real-time observations. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected cloud cover reducing insolation, a late wind shift, or revisions in the final 24-hour temperature record from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 13?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 13?
23°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$41,324 KL.
$41,324 KL.
Aug 13, 2026
20°C or below
No
21°C
No
22°C
No
23°C
Yes
24°C
No
25°C
No
26°C
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C or higher
No
23°C 100.0%
20°C or below <1%
21°C <1%
22°C <1%
$41,324 KL.
$41,324 KL.
Aug 13, 2026
20°C or below
$722 KL.
No
21°C
$1,789 KL.
No
22°C
$5,758 KL.
No
23°C
$11,454 KL.
Yes
24°C
$12,739 KL.
No
25°C
$3,628 KL.
No
26°C
$2,821 KL.
No
27°C
$528 KL.
No
28°C
$893 KL.
No
29°C
$782 KL.
No
30°C or higher
$210 KL.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological agencies have converged on a Warsaw daily maximum of 23°C for August 13, driven by stable high pressure, light northeasterly winds, and limited daytime heating without significant warm-air advection. This aligns with the official measurement station at Warsaw Chopin Airport and typical mid-August climatology for the region, where average highs hover near 23°C. Market-implied odds reflect traders' assessment of these model outputs and real-time observations. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected cloud cover reducing insolation, a late wind shift, or revisions in the final 24-hour temperature record from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ET
Khối lượng
$41,324Ngày kết thúc
Aug 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWANgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Short-range ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological agencies have converged on a Warsaw daily maximum of 23°C for August 13, driven by stable high pressure, light northeasterly winds, and limited daytime heating without significant warm-air advection. This aligns with the official measurement station at Warsaw Chopin Airport and typical mid-August climatology for the region, where average highs hover near 23°C. Market-implied odds reflect traders' assessment of these model outputs and real-time observations. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected cloud cover reducing insolation, a late wind shift, or revisions in the final 24-hour temperature record from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 13 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$41,324Ngày kết thúc
Aug 13, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 11, 2026, 1:03 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWANgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Short-range ensemble forecasts from the European Centre for Medium-Range Weather Forecasts and national meteorological agencies have converged on a Warsaw daily maximum of 23°C for August 13, driven by stable high pressure, light northeasterly winds, and limited daytime heating without significant warm-air advection. This aligns with the official measurement station at Warsaw Chopin Airport and typical mid-August climatology for the region, where average highs hover near 23°C. Market-implied odds reflect traders' assessment of these model outputs and real-time observations. Scenarios that could shift the outcome include unexpected cloud cover reducing insolation, a late wind shift, or revisions in the final 24-hour temperature record from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Water Management.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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