Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF points to a peak of 32°C in Warsaw on August 10 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow that maximizes daytime heating. This aligns with the market's near-certain positioning on 32°C, reflecting traders' assessment of verified observational thresholds from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology (IMGW). Historical August maxima average near 24°C, underscoring the above-normal warmth from this synoptic pattern. Minor uncertainties around afternoon convective clouds or slight wind shifts could allow a 31°C or 33°C reading, though model agreement keeps those outcomes low-probability ahead of final daily maximum confirmation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Warsaw on August 10?
Highest temperature in Warsaw on August 10?
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$31,645 KL.
$31,645 KL.
Aug 10, 2026
26°C or below
No
27°C
No
28°C
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
Yes
33°C
No
34°C
No
35°C
No
36°C or higher
No
32°C 100.0%
26°C or below <1%
27°C <1%
28°C <1%
$31,645 KL.
$31,645 KL.
Aug 10, 2026
26°C or below
$721 KL.
No
27°C
$551 KL.
No
28°C
$2,993 KL.
No
29°C
$2,941 KL.
No
30°C
$4,837 KL.
No
31°C
$5,861 KL.
No
32°C
$5,429 KL.
Yes
33°C
$6,327 KL.
No
34°C
$1,046 KL.
No
35°C
$458 KL.
No
36°C or higher
$480 KL.
No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF points to a peak of 32°C in Warsaw on August 10 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow that maximizes daytime heating. This aligns with the market's near-certain positioning on 32°C, reflecting traders' assessment of verified observational thresholds from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology (IMGW). Historical August maxima average near 24°C, underscoring the above-normal warmth from this synoptic pattern. Minor uncertainties around afternoon convective clouds or slight wind shifts could allow a 31°C or 33°C reading, though model agreement keeps those outcomes low-probability ahead of final daily maximum confirmation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Khối lượng
$31,645Ngày kết thúc
Aug 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWANgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF points to a peak of 32°C in Warsaw on August 10 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow that maximizes daytime heating. This aligns with the market's near-certain positioning on 32°C, reflecting traders' assessment of verified observational thresholds from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology (IMGW). Historical August maxima average near 24°C, underscoring the above-normal warmth from this synoptic pattern. Minor uncertainties around afternoon convective clouds or slight wind shifts could allow a 31°C or 33°C reading, though model agreement keeps those outcomes low-probability ahead of final daily maximum confirmation.
This market will resolve based on the highest temperature recorded in the 'Daily Observations' table on Weather Underground, not the figure displayed in the 'Day High & Low' summary section; in the event of any discrepancy between the two, the Daily Observations table shall be the primary resolution source not the Day High & Low section.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 10 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Warsaw Chopin Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWA.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Khối lượng
$31,645Ngày kết thúc
Aug 10, 2026Thị trường mở
Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ETNguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/pl/warsaw/EPWANgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Recent forecast model consensus from agencies including the Met Office and ECMWF points to a peak of 32°C in Warsaw on August 10 under stable high pressure, clear skies, and light southerly flow that maximizes daytime heating. This aligns with the market's near-certain positioning on 32°C, reflecting traders' assessment of verified observational thresholds from the Polish Institute of Meteorology and Hydrology (IMGW). Historical August maxima average near 24°C, underscoring the above-normal warmth from this synoptic pattern. Minor uncertainties around afternoon convective clouds or slight wind shifts could allow a 31°C or 33°C reading, though model agreement keeps those outcomes low-probability ahead of final daily maximum confirmation.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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