Traders overwhelmingly favor 34°C as Tel Aviv’s daily maximum on August 10 because operational forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting global models project this value as the most likely peak under prevailing high-pressure conditions. Mid-summer climatology places typical August highs near 31°C, yet current sea-surface temperatures and subsidence patterns support the modest elevation. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, indicating limited forecast uncertainty. Only an unpredicted influx of cooler Mediterranean air or rapid cloud development would realistically shift the outcome outside the 34°C threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Tel Aviv on August 10?
34°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$33,498 KL.
$33,498 KL.
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
31°C or below <1%
32°C <1%
33°C <1%
$33,498 KL.
$33,498 KL.
31°C or below
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C
No
39°C
No
40°C
No
41°C or higher
No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 8, 2026, 1:02 AM ET
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
The resolution source for this market will be information from NOAA, specifically the highest reading under the "Temp" column for all times on this day, available here: https://www.weather.gov/wrh/timeseries?site=LLBG
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the "Switch to Metric Units" button until the relevant table displays °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Người giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Traders overwhelmingly favor 34°C as Tel Aviv’s daily maximum on August 10 because operational forecasts from the Israel Meteorological Service and supporting global models project this value as the most likely peak under prevailing high-pressure conditions. Mid-summer climatology places typical August highs near 31°C, yet current sea-surface temperatures and subsidence patterns support the modest elevation. Ensemble spreads remain narrow, indicating limited forecast uncertainty. Only an unpredicted influx of cooler Mediterranean air or rapid cloud development would realistically shift the outcome outside the 34°C threshold.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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