Official forecasts and real-time observations from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration place Taipei’s August 18 high at 34°C, aligning with the market’s 100% consensus on that outcome. Persistent summer heat, weak steering patterns, and urban heat-island effects have sustained temperatures near the upper end of the 31–35°C range, with afternoon readings already approaching 32–34°C at key stations such as Songshan Airport. Historical August averages of 32–34°C and ongoing heat alerts reinforce this positioning. The only realistic shifts would require rapid afternoon convection or a stronger sea breeze that caps the peak below 34°C, though current model consensus shows low probability of such suppression before evening.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhậtHighest temperature in Taipei on August 18?
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$68,592 KL.
$68,592 KL.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
34°C 100.0%
28°C or below <1%
29°C <1%
30°C <1%
$68,592 KL.
$68,592 KL.
28°C or below
No
29°C
No
30°C
No
31°C
No
32°C
No
33°C
No
34°C
Yes
35°C
No
36°C
No
37°C
No
38°C or higher
No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Thị trường mở: Aug 16, 2026, 12:57 AM ET
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
This market will resolve to the temperature range that contains the highest temperature recorded at the Taipei Songshan Airport Station in degrees Celsius on 18 Aug '26.
The resolution source for this market will be information from Wunderground, specifically the highest temperature recorded for all times on this day for the Taipei Songshan Airport Station, available here: https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSS.
To toggle between Fahrenheit and Celsius, click the gear icon next to the search bar and switch the Temperature setting between °F and °C.
This market can not resolve until the first data point for the following date has been published on the resolution source.
The resolution source for this market measures temperatures to whole degrees Celsius (eg, 9°C). Thus, this is the level of precision that will be used when resolving the market.
Revisions to temperatures recorded within this market's timeframe will be considered until the first datapoint for the following date has been published, after which any alterations will not be considered.
Nguồn giải quyết
https://www.wunderground.com/history/daily/tw/taipei/RCSSNgười giải quyết
0x69c47De9D...Kết quả đề xuất: No
Không tranh chấp
Kết quả cuối cùng: No
Official forecasts and real-time observations from Taiwan’s Central Weather Administration place Taipei’s August 18 high at 34°C, aligning with the market’s 100% consensus on that outcome. Persistent summer heat, weak steering patterns, and urban heat-island effects have sustained temperatures near the upper end of the 31–35°C range, with afternoon readings already approaching 32–34°C at key stations such as Songshan Airport. Historical August averages of 32–34°C and ongoing heat alerts reinforce this positioning. The only realistic shifts would require rapid afternoon convection or a stronger sea breeze that caps the peak below 34°C, though current model consensus shows low probability of such suppression before evening.
Tóm tắt AI thử nghiệm tham chiếu dữ liệu Polymarket. Đây không phải tư vấn giao dịch và không ảnh hưởng đến cách thị trường này được giải quyết. · Cập nhật
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